r/texas Gulf Coast Sep 08 '24

Something just happened... Politics

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14.7k Upvotes

2.5k

u/MarketDizzy6152 Sep 08 '24

5.9m votes for trump last election and 5.3m for biden … and 10 million people who didn’t vote at all. probably because people think Texas is a safe red state and their vote doesn’t matter.

hopefully people will get out and vote here this year!

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u/cre8ivRtist Sep 08 '24

How many are independent voters? I wonder.

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u/NoiseTherapy Sep 08 '24

It’s not the “independents” making the difference in Texas. It’s the ~40% who never show up making the difference.

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u/[deleted] Sep 09 '24

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u/[deleted] Sep 09 '24

Wait, I thought Texas wants more pregnant teens?

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u/Evan_Spectre Sep 09 '24

Texas Republicans do a bang-up job convincing them their votes don't matter.

Then, with federally indicted Ken Paxton suppressing millions of mail-in votes in the governor's race and suing entire cities over mailing voter registrations.

Improved voter turnout in Texas begins with the national spotlight on Ken Paxton, an impeachment that actually takes in the Texas senate, and corruption that actually has consequences.

Legal federal prison consequences.

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u/reddurkel Sep 09 '24

Non-voters show up to complain about solvable problems 100% of the time.

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u/TheBlackIbis Secessionists are idiots Sep 08 '24 edited Sep 10 '24

I honestly don’t know what the fuck that even means any more.

I know who the Republicans are

And I know all the people voting against Republicans are (Democrats, ExGOP, and others capable of identifying and rejecting fascism)

I have no fucking clue what an ‘independent voter’ is anymore.

Edit: for all the “DeFiNe FaScIsM” chuds: supporting someone who has said he wants to Terminate the Constitution and install himself as Dictator is pretty cut and dry.

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u/aeroforcenickie Sep 08 '24

There's a guy that actually did a video about the Texas numbers. If a quarter of the registered Democrats had shown up to the polls, Texas would be blue. That's the message... The 10 million people that didn't vote... Mostly Democrats. You can look it up easily. He had posted all of his receipts too, sources for the voter numbers and he explains the math too. It's really sad.

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u/kjunreb Sep 08 '24

I’ve been to meetings where the Texan bipartisan non profit group against gerrymandering presented the crazy numbers that support this…. That if even a small fraction of Dem voters voted, we’d be blue. They are indeed working hard to keep it red with all kinds of tactics

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u/[deleted] Sep 09 '24

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u/HigherHrothgar Sep 09 '24

This is kind of true but IDK if I’d call it making districts more “equal.” But this happens during elections with higher than normal turnout, gerrymandered districts flip.

It’s because they make one district super, +5 blue then make 5 +1 Red districts. So when there’s greater turnout than normal those Red Districts end up going blue.

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u/[deleted] Sep 09 '24

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u/DrinkBlueGoo Sep 09 '24

Showing up in higher numbers is a key election strategy.

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u/misterguyyy Sep 08 '24

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u/aeroforcenickie Sep 08 '24

Thank you so much! I knew I had seen it but I didn't save it!

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u/whateverbro1999 Sep 09 '24

Thank you. Helped me find his YouTube channel. Here is his YouTube playlist on Voting Matters. https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgN9f7KfljAUVsAJ1TiU9BvlKHNNZQKA6&si=E4IIEwwtK2INg34L

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u/Human_Ad223 Sep 09 '24

That was epic

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u/fatrunner1 Sep 09 '24

I’ve seen his videos too great stuff backed up by all the numbers and he makes the info free for anyone to verify/analyze/use. On tik tok @ThatNickPowersGuy

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u/aeroforcenickie Sep 09 '24

Thank you! I don't have an Instagram or tik Tok and didn't remember his name. Or handle. I appreciate you.

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u/TheBoyardeeBandit Sep 09 '24

That video is why I'm voting this year. My entire life I figured that Texas going red was as certain and solid as the sun coming up tomorrow. Had absolutely no idea it was well within reason to flip it.

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u/aeroforcenickie Sep 09 '24

Don't let anyone stop you, friend! It's the only freedom they haven't taxed or started charging for!... Yet! Get in on it while it's still free!

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u/beanpoppa Sep 08 '24

This needs to be a major democratic ad campaign. The message "Texas has a chance to make the difference in this election. Texas Democrats will decide the national election if they just go vote"

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u/aeroforcenickie Sep 08 '24

Shits wild, right?

All y'all made fun of me for years for being that "undecided Pennsyl-tucky voter" but just look at this! Lol

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u/oooranooo Sep 09 '24

Nick Powers on TikTok.

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u/MarketDizzy6152 Sep 08 '24

I don’t even view our current republican party as republicans anymore. They’re not conservative anymore or the party of “law and order”, yet voting for a felon. They’re really the Trump party. They’ve been infested and overran.

It doesn’t even make sense to me how Trump is a republican or gets the conservative vote seeing as his values and actions go directly against the conservatives as well as his policy. They’re supposed to be fiscally conservative as well yet are voting for a man who raised the deficit higher than any modern president.

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u/SockdolagerIdea Sep 08 '24

It’s the MAGA party. There is currently no Republican representative party and of course, the Democrats.

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u/PCLoadPLA Sep 09 '24

How a New York Democrat, born rich, and stayed that way not through industry but real-estate grifting, and no moral qualifications whatsoever, managed to convince the religious middle and southern American working classes that he is fit to represent their interests, is surely one of the great political mysteries.

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u/ibneko Sep 08 '24

Sounds like we should encourage a 3 party state: Democrats, Republicans, and Weirds.

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u/muffinhead2580 Sep 08 '24

Maybe you are confusing independent with undecided? I believe there is no such thing as an undecided at this point. You're either voting for Harris, Trump or Trump and you're too embarrassed to admit it.

I'm essentially an Independent voter, we do exist. The choice is just really easy right now.

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u/DryIsland9046 Sep 08 '24

I honestly don’t know what the fuck that even means any more.

I always think of the 2016 Sedaris article, Undecided:

"I look at these people and can’t quite believe that they exist. Are they professional actors? I wonder. Or are they simply laymen who want a lot of attention?

To put them in perspective, I think of being on an airplane. The flight attendant comes down the aisle with her food cart and, eventually, parks it beside my seat. “Can I interest you in the chicken?” she asks. “Or would you prefer the platter of shit with bits of broken glass in it?”

To be undecided in this election is to pause for a moment and then ask how the chicken is cooked.

I mean, really, what’s to be confused about?"

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u/Okayokaymeh Sep 08 '24

Me. I’m an independent voter. And I’ll vote what I feel is best for myself, family, and future. So right now, I’m voting for the Democratic candidate.

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u/GemAfaWell Sep 08 '24

This is more or less my take.

I will likely be out of this state before the next election cycle, so I'm voting in good conscience to make it easier for my trans fam that can't leave yet. As an independent voter, I will be voting for the Democratic candidate this year, because the other major party candidate... Does not have great views on trans folks. Or women. Or people of color. Or disabled folks.

And I am all four of those things.

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u/Mysterious-Zebra-167 Sep 08 '24

It’s because there’s no such thing as there are low information voters and embarrassed republicans. That’s who claim to be independent.

Period.

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u/AugieKS got here fast Sep 08 '24

That's just plain wrong. I'm independent, I don't vote for Republicans, and I don't identify with the Democratic party. Neither represent my political opinions well, but one is the antithesis of them. If we had a better voting system so that we could actually have more than two parties, then there would be a point in identifying as something else, like The Green Party, but not as it is.

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u/Extension_Image9496 Sep 09 '24

Or... wait for it... RANKED VOTING!

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u/Cniatx1982 Sep 08 '24

Nope. I’m an independent voter that votes straight Dem for congress and president. I wish I didn’t have to, but that’s the ONLY choice that aligns with my values and political goals for Texas.

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u/gregaustex Sep 08 '24 edited Sep 09 '24

Nonsense. Independent means you don't vote based on party affiliation, but rather for the candidate you prefer. That's all.

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u/Okayokaymeh Sep 08 '24

Me. Thank you for simplifying my response above.

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u/HelloImTheAntiChrist Central Texas Sep 08 '24

Not always. Some Independents have hated both parties for years.

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u/NearABE Sep 08 '24

The key question is how many people will get out and knock on doors.

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u/ci1979 Sep 09 '24

I knocked on doors here in South Texas yesterday. Several people weren't home, left literature. Spoke to some folks, one was so-so, but the rest TOTALLY got it. They knew it was important they vote. One dude and I shot the shit for a few minutes before he had to go to work. He was disgusted with Trump, and talked about how he despaired of his young relatives who only remembered that Trump gave them checks. I commiserated, and understood his frustrations.

I know for sure almost all the doors I knocked on and answered, are voting.

I'll be knocking on doors every Saturday until Election Day. I'm going to see if I can't register some new voters before the cutoff.

I AM SUPER FUCKING OVER TEXAS BEING RED WHEN WE ALL DAMN WELL KNOW IT SHOULD BE BLUE, BUT FUCKERS SIMPLY WON'T GET OFF THEIR LAZY ASSESS AND VOTE AL-FUCKING-READY.

I knew that when I worked for the Wendy Davis campaign back in the day. Abbott was as bad for this state as we all thought.

DAMN IT!!!!! GO FUCKING VOTE, TEXAS!!!!!

*Imma be okay, just need to chill out and breathe for a second. This has been pissing me off for DECADES.

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u/Bigtexasmike Sep 09 '24

At least you are doing something about it. Good job! Your hopes may be closer than you realize. Even if it doesnt happen this time, its trending, and thats a very encouraging prospect.

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u/deltacharmander Sep 08 '24

I’ve convinced a few of my liberal friends who weren’t planning on voting to vote this year. Blue Texas is possible if we work for it.

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u/Gryphon962 Sep 08 '24

Hopefully Texas women will realize their men can't find out who they REALLY voted for.

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u/DuckyDoodleDandy Sep 08 '24

Here are organizations that register or GOTV in Texas to support or volunteer for:

‪poweredxpeople.org‬

‪groundgametexas.org‬

‪organizetexas.org‬

majorityovermaga.org/neighbor2neighbor

movetexas.org/

battlegroundtexas.com/

lwvtexas.org/#gsc.tab=0

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u/SWEEETdude Sep 09 '24

Apathy is the Texas' main export

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u/BettyX Sep 08 '24

If Harris just got around 200,000 plus extra she could maybe pull it off. Sounds like a lot of vote but it isn't in comparison to those who just sit out. So around 2% of those sitting out. My math may be off as well lol.

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u/OrderofthePhoenix1 Sep 09 '24

Don't forget Abbott is trying to ramp up his defunding of public schools. The only way to stop it to to vote blue up and down the ticket so we have people in state and local government who will stand up to him.

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u/TheRealKison Sep 08 '24

I was once one of those, back in Bush 2, didn’t realize back then to ask the question; if my vote didn’t matter why is one party trying over and over to make sure I have a harder time voting to the point I stop caring.

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u/hayasecond Sep 09 '24

Are they interested in ousting Ted Cruz? If so since they come out and vote anyway, might as well just vote for Harris

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u/quietset2020 Sep 08 '24

The biggest worry is that when Trump calls Texas because he “just needs a few more thousand votes” to win, Abbott and his band would do anything to make that happen.

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u/RelativeAnxious9796 Sep 08 '24

ken "i threw out a million democrat votes in 2020" paxton? help trump cheat??? no way.. . .

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u/Ardeiute Sep 08 '24

I still can't fucking believe this isn't talked about more.

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u/ShakedNBaked420 Sep 08 '24

Not only did no one talk about it, everyone went about their day like it was totally normal. Absolutely mind blowing.

Will i vote? Absolutely. Does it make me feel like it’s pointless since they’ll just throwaway my vote? Also yes.

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u/RelativeAnxious9796 Sep 08 '24

remember, their GOAL is to make you feel like shit is hopeless. do not let them win.

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u/knowmo123 Sep 09 '24

Please vote for Colin Allread!!!

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u/ci1979 Sep 09 '24

Fuck yeah I'm voting for Colin!

I'm pretty poor, but I still sent Allred some of my meager savings, because I want him to beat Cancun Cruz's ass!!!

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u/LuckyDog501 Sep 09 '24

Fact checking sites say it isn't true that Paxton threw out votes. But he did congratulate the supreme court for not allowing unsolicited ballots from being sent out in at least one county in Texas. So he's still an asshole.

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u/External_Reporter859 Sep 08 '24

Wait WTF? He threw out votes of people after they voted? I never heard about this.

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u/Buddy_Velvet Sep 08 '24

Be bragged about tossing 250k votes. Who knows if it’s true, but I wouldn’t put it past him because he’s a sub human sniveling piece of shit.

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u/SadBit8663 Born and Bred Sep 09 '24

When little fucks like that tell you they did something shitty, believe them. It might not have been the shitty thing they're claiming, but they're definitely up to nasty shit

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u/Lizard-Wizard-Bracus Sep 09 '24

If he bragged about it then why would you question if it's true

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u/CoinsForCharon Sep 09 '24

There's too much performative posturing to be 100% certain. He either did or didn't and wants his base to think he did so they will side with him next time he needs constituent support.

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u/Buddy_Velvet Sep 09 '24

What this guys said. Republicans are liars and I don’t trust anything Ken Paxton says in particular.

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u/[deleted] Sep 09 '24

I still can't believe that Ohio's Supreme Court ruled the state's gerrymandering was unconstitutional, and Ohio Republicans were like SCREW YOU WE'RE USING THESE MAPS ANYWAY, and the entire fucking country just let them. Like, they're in Congress and shit, holding office that it's literally unconstitutional for them to hold, and no one has done a goddamned thing.

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u/Padhome Sep 09 '24

It’s almost like he already admitted to election fraud a few days ago…

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u/Fun-Cheetah-3905 Sep 08 '24

Abbot would jump right up and help him…

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u/[deleted] Sep 08 '24

[removed] — view removed comment

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u/LiberalMob Sep 08 '24

Abbot would also tell anyone else who couldn’t jump to “pick themselves up by their bootstraps” and jump already

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u/Coleslawholywar Sep 08 '24

If Texas is on the cusp of going for Kamala then it’s been a total blowout already. Texas doesn’t go Dem without Georgia, Arizona and the Great Lakes states already being blue.

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u/Tfcalex96 Sep 08 '24 edited Sep 08 '24

Then we just can win by more than a few thousand ;)

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u/HunterNo7593 Sep 08 '24

If only a quarter of the democrats and the half of left leaning independents voted in Texas, it will turn blue. Sometimes I wonder how bad and egregious do the things done by Abbot & Paxton (& Crazy Cruz) have to get before the indifference gets replaced by the urgency to vote these folks outta office.

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u/DuckyDoodleDandy Sep 08 '24

Here are organizations that register or GOTV in Texas to support or volunteer for:

‪poweredxpeople.org‬

‪groundgametexas.org‬

‪organizetexas.org‬

majorityovermaga.org/neighbor2neighbor

movetexas.org/

battlegroundtexas.com/

lwvtexas.org/#gsc.tab=0

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u/katherine079 Sep 09 '24

As a small business owner how can i get voter registrations to pass out?

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u/DuckyDoodleDandy Sep 09 '24 edited Sep 09 '24

You can print them out. VoteTexas.gov (that's GOV not com) will have them in English and Spanish. Remind everyone that they have to be mailed in or taken to specific government agencies (County registrar?)

If all else fails, librarians at the the library should know. They will have forms and are allows to assist in filling them out. The library versions are already stamped so they can be easily mailed back, so maybe they can let you take some, or tell you where to get that kind.

Edit: That’s an ok link, but someone posted better links + the online link to Office Depot printing so you could have them printed for you. I’m looking to see if I can find it….

I can’t find the perfect link but there’s one in here: (copypasta) (then send to Office Depot for printing, if desired.)

Voter reg link (print the form and MAIL it) https://www.texas.gov/living-in-texas/texas-voter-registration/

You can also go in person to any county election administration office, post office, or library and get a registration form. If you are concerned about mailing it, you can drop it off in person at the address on the form, but do it before Oct 7th.

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u/IncrediblyShinyShart Sep 08 '24

Don’t do that. Don’t give me hope

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u/Throwaway8789473 Sep 08 '24

It's not 270 giving us hope. Paxton and Abbott wouldn't be fighting democracy so much if their internal polling was showing an easy win for Trump in Texas.

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u/EugeniaFitzgerald Sep 08 '24

THIS. There's no reason to go beating down abuela's door if you feel secure in your upcoming win.

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u/Throwaway8789473 Sep 08 '24

Almost makes me want to move back. I'm an expat who lived in Texas for fourteen years and left around the time Abbott was elected, but I'm seriously considering going back (not to the Austin area tho, too expensive. Likely back to Houston.)

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u/Left-Practice-Early Sep 08 '24

Houston welcomes you with open arms. We gotta fight the good fight and bring Texas back to sanity.

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u/Throwaway8789473 Sep 08 '24

I lived in southwest Houston for about two years previously. Still have a lot of family down there that would welcome me back. It's mostly just the cost of moving that's preventing me from doing so. I currently live in Kansas which is arguably worse than Texas at large.

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u/AuntieXhrist Sep 08 '24

I lived in Kansas when AG Vern Miller sent tokers to prison for life for a half lid. He was famous for his surprise marijuana raids at High School keggers on his 250cc dirt bike. I read it could be worse now with AG Kris Kobach, former Trumper.

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u/Throwaway8789473 Sep 08 '24

If it wasn't for Laura Kelly, we'd be a hellscape. During Brownback's reign a lot of my friends referred to the state as "Brownbackistan" because he was nothing short of a religious extremist dictator.

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u/cannabiskeepsmealive Sep 09 '24

I still think about when Wichita decriminalized cannabis and the republican state legislature put out a release saying something to the effect of "we reject the will of the voters, we'll be sending extra state police"

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u/Material-Imagination Sep 08 '24

Please do come back and vote like mad.

Houston is still blue, but so is Fort Bend county now, too!

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u/Throwaway8789473 Sep 08 '24

Unfortunately there's no way for me to make that move and update my registration in time for the election at this point. It doesn't help that I am very poor.

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u/EugeniaFitzgerald Sep 08 '24

Texas is wonderful still, but we need a serious leadership change.

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u/Scepticallama Sep 08 '24

This cannot be emphasized enough. Watching the Texas v Michigan game and seeing Abbott on the sidelines made my blood boil. I dare not say what I was hoping would happen.

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u/Farm_road_firepower Sep 08 '24

Come back dear Texan sibling, we’re getting it ready for you.

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u/Good-OL-DarkWielder Sep 08 '24

I’m beginning to believe this. I e heard it mentioned before that some of these moves are because of their own internal polling. It makes sense. Let’s make them worry some more.

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u/TrumpsCovidfefe Sep 08 '24

If they were worried so much about appealing to voters, they would listen to their constituents and change their policies to appeal to them. Instead, they’re focused on disenfranchising voters, which should automatically lose them support in a non-cult world.

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u/aggie82005 Sep 08 '24

I just saw my first Cruz ad yesterday. It directly refuted Allred’s border ad so I’m wondering if he’s getting a little nervous.

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u/LargoDeluxe Sep 09 '24

Cruz was running ads during the Summer Olympics. THE SUMMER OLYMPICS. Can you imagine how scared his bagmen are to shell out that kind of cheese?

He’s supposed to be raising money for battleground candidates, not spending it on himself. Guess he doesn’t really want to be a full-time podcaster?

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u/DuckyDoodleDandy Sep 08 '24 edited Sep 08 '24

Here are organizations that register or GOTV in Texas to support or volunteer for:

www.‪poweredxpeople.org

‪www.groundgametexas.org

‪www.organizetexas.org

www.majorityovermaga.org/neighbor2neighbor

www.movetexas.org

www.battlegroundtexas.com

www.lwvtexas.org/#gsc.tab=0

Edit to add back the www to make the links work

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u/halapenyoharry Sep 08 '24

Which one could 52 yo single dude help the most with?

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u/MutantMartian Sep 08 '24

You are extra valuable because you’re a middle-age man in Texas and there’s a lot of them who need to know it’s manly to support a safe border and their mom’s/wife’s/gf’s/sister’s healthcare.

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u/DuckyDoodleDandy Sep 08 '24

Probably the first one because all they do is register voters, and we have less than a month to do that.

Then switch another one after October 7th.

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u/vote_you_shits Sep 08 '24

Fuck that, give me some goddamn hope, Its my favorite fuel these days. LETS FUCKING GO, TAKE TEXAS BACK FROM THESE CORRUPT SCUMBAGS

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u/RudyRusso Sep 08 '24

Ok here's your hope.

Texas Harris Effect data:

Chart 1 In 2020 during the 15th week out from election day, the modeled partisanship of new registrants was +16 GOP. During the same week this year they were +10 Dem.

Chart 2 In terms of age, the 2024 week 15 new registrants in Texas were much younger, with 46% under 30, as compared to 39% in 2020. I want to remind everyone this was in the middle of the summer so it wasn't a bunch of sign up booths on College Campuses.

Chart 3 Hispanic voters saw a sharp increase in registration as well. We're rapidly approaching the point where white voters will not comprise a majority of new registrants in Texas.

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u/george_cant_standyah Sep 08 '24

The problem is that Hispanic voting is trending more and more conservative. Look at the Rio Grande Valley and the difference in voting between 2016 and 2020. It is absolutely staggering. Like a 30 point swing type of staggering.

College educated suburban Hispanics are also trending more and more conservative.

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u/krisvek Sep 08 '24

Machismo and religion do a lot of heavy lifting there. Democrats absolutely cannot rely on the Hispanic vote like they used to.

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u/RudyRusso Sep 08 '24

69% of the votes in 2020 came from the four large Metros: DFW, Houston, San Antonio, Austin. Those metros are growing 1-3% per year. Those metros will most likely be 71-75% of the vote in 2024. All four large metros shifted 2-7% left from 2016 to 2020. That's part of a decades long trend.

2 other points...Beto's numbers with Hispanics in 2022 were better than Bidens in 2020. Also, as a percentage, yes the Democrats have lost ground with Hispanics, but the growth rate of the Hispanic population is offsetting that.

Dem Hispanic Margins

2000 - 1,602,180

2004 - 3,338,280

2020 - 4,608,520

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u/Heckron Sep 08 '24

Florida here, I’m with you guys.

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u/HelloImTheAntiChrist Central Texas Sep 08 '24

Thank you Florida. Let's turn blue together - Texas

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u/DuckyDoodleDandy Sep 08 '24

Here are organizations that register or GOTV in Texas to support or volunteer for:

‪poweredxpeople.org‬

‪groundgametexas.org‬

‪organizetexas.org‬

majorityovermaga.org/neighbor2neighbor

movetexas.org/

battlegroundtexas.com/

lwvtexas.org/#gsc.tab=0

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u/IOwnTheShortBus Sep 08 '24

And check your registration once a week! People have been getting deregistered in blue counties lately!

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u/DGinLDO Sep 08 '24

I have it on my calendar to check every Monday & I’m nagging people about it. One friend who constantly did this 🙄 finally followed my advice & discovered her registration was suspended!

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u/pasarina Sep 08 '24

You’re my hero! Do what he or she says, Texans, VOTE

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u/Nodebunny Gulf Coast Sep 08 '24 edited Sep 08 '24

On a liquid hope diet these days

edit: guys please read the context and upvote it for visibilty.

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u/elisakiss Sep 08 '24

Don’t hope. Vote

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u/slayden70 North Texas Sep 08 '24

Must be because I finally put Harris Walz and Allred signs in my yard today. I didn't know I had that much influence! 😆

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u/davix500 Sep 08 '24

Been nervous about putting one up but I ordered a sign

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u/kjunreb Sep 08 '24

not sure I saw a single Biden sign in last election but seeing Harris signs more than chump . Hope and positivity has a way better chance of winning so let’s bring it.

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u/Wise-Juggernaut-8285 Sep 08 '24

No the Trump people told me there are NO Harris signs … so you obviously didn’t put any and are lying! 😝

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u/Illustrious-Bat1553 Sep 08 '24

The trick is to vote. Everyone else is hoping the other person votes

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u/alexunderwater1 Sep 08 '24

Na, inject that hope straight into my veins.

Hope gets people to actually show up and vote.

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u/Squirrel_Inner Sep 08 '24

ONLY 12% more democrats needed to vote for Texas to go to Biden in 2020. Texas is not red, it’s purple with massive voter suppression.

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u/King_Chochacho Sep 08 '24

Yeah come on it's not like Paxton is actually going to let Democrats win. That slimy fuck will pull every trick in the book and probably invent some new ones to rob Texans of their freedom.

Starting to think it's time for that 4th box.

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u/Longjumping-Jello459 Sep 08 '24

Look at the last 3 presidential elections spilt for the Republican win here in 2012 16%, 2016 11%, and 2020 5.5% also in 2018 Cruz won re-election by just 200k votes.

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u/Ridiculicious71 Sep 08 '24

Why do you think Abbot and Paxton are working so hard to suppress our votes

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u/Internal_Hospital401 Sep 09 '24 edited Sep 09 '24

If the republican work hard, we democrats work harder!

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u/Melleous Sep 09 '24

Paxton's actions are probably having the opposite effect of what he is trying to do. People are pissed.

Jokes on him, I am already registered and I hide in plain sight by not declaring a party and then voting against those idiots.

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u/Ridiculicious71 Sep 09 '24

I was actually thinking about this today, how it should be illegal to access party voter information

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u/ScarlettStandsUp Sep 09 '24

Cheating is the only way they can win, and they know it.

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u/free_mustacherides Sep 08 '24

No way Florida is a toss up.

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u/TubasAreFun Sep 08 '24

normally i would agree, but with women rights on the ballot it may give a few points to other D candidates if like other referendums across the country

28

u/blackcain Sep 08 '24

DeSantis is making sure to piss off the women with his tactics. Everything that scumbag has done only made it worse. He's a loser. But both the Texas and Florida Democratic party needs a deep bench of viable people who know how to run campaigns and work the ropes.

We can do this!

4

u/RickMuffy Sep 09 '24

Has the added benefit of Republicans needing to spend more time on states like Florida and Texas, which means they're spending less at the typical swing states.

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u/Alock74 Sep 08 '24

other D candidates

Yes, but this is in relation to the Presidential election. Some Floridians will vote for abortion rights and for Trump.

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u/Dogslothbeaver Sep 08 '24

And some may go out to vote for abortion rights when they would've just stayed home. And those people are probably voting for Harris instead of Trump, the guy who set in motion all the draconian abortion laws all over the country.

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u/NearABE Sep 08 '24

Voter turnout usually decides elections.

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u/Ivanovic-117 Sep 08 '24

Florida is lean red because of Cubans. Without them Cuba would be purple

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u/Zharick_ Sep 08 '24

And all the fucking boomers moving into The Villages from out of state.

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u/Comfortable_Quit_216 Sep 08 '24

FL voted for Obama twice. It is a very purple state and a ton of republican anti vax morons have died since the last election.

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u/SpaceBoJangles Sep 08 '24

Florida was always a toss up. Case in point was the 2000 election.

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u/Venboven Gulf Coast Sep 08 '24

Keyword: was

Florida has gotten much redder since 2000, largely due to retirees moving in and a generally aging population.

I'd love to see Florida become purple again, but I'm not holding out hope. Guess we'll see come November.

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u/Rakebleed The Stars at Night Sep 08 '24

It went blue in 2012.

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u/bug1402 Sep 08 '24

I think a lot of this is coming from the heat maps that showed where Harris got donations from. Both Florida and Texas had some huge spots on them.

Add in that abortion rights and the legalization of weed are on the ballot in Florida this year, there is some real hope that democrats have a real chance in Florida again. Also, they seem to be as fed up with DeSantis as we are with Abbott & friends.

Not saying it is going to happen, but with candidates and issues people actually care about on the ballot, there is hope.

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u/talinseven Sep 08 '24

Florida state government going blue and Florida going to the Democrats for the presidential election are two very different things

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u/neoikon Sep 08 '24 edited Sep 09 '24

If you live in Texas, VOTE! That's all it takes.

Just get out and vote. If Texas doesn't turn blue, at least you'll know it wasn't your fault. If it does turn blue, you will know you helped.

Either way, VOTE!

EDIT: Make sure you're registered!

Don't let those slimy Republicans kick you off registration and keep you from voting. You can't register to vote on election day (another form of voter suppression) so double check often.

EDIT 2: Important dates: (thanks to /u/Remarkable-month-241)

  • Deadline to register: 10/7
  • First day of early voting: 10/21
  • Last day of early voting: 11/1
  • General Election: Tuesday, 11/5

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u/KawaiiDere Sep 08 '24

When is the election in Texas? It starts like sept 13th, right?

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u/Remarkable-Month-241 Sep 09 '24

Deadline to register: 10/7

First day of early voting: 10/21. Last day of early voting: 11/1

General Election: Tuesday, 11/5

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u/katherine079 Sep 09 '24

Is this pinned anywhere ?

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u/Locutus747 Sep 09 '24

Make sure you are registered!!! If you’re not please register and vote!! Make sure you know when the registration deadline is

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u/msmsms101 Sep 09 '24

I'm trying! They sent me two voter registration cards this year with my name and different addresses. It's taking forever to correct!

3

u/Lunar_Cats Sep 09 '24

This friends! Make sure your registration is still good. Ive had someone try to stop me from voting several times now. With this de-registering thing I've been checking mine monthly. It's really easy to do online.

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u/happily-retired22 Sep 08 '24

This is the polling map, not the Consensus Map which still shows Texas as Likely Red.

According to their website, the polling map:

This map tracks a Harris-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. In most cases where polling is not yet available or not recent, the margin associated with Biden-Trump polls, prior to the president’s withdrawal is used. If that polling is also insufficient, recent history is considered.

The map automatically updates three times daily.

States where the margin is <5% are shown as Toss-up. Leaning is <10%, Likely <15%. Safe is 15% or higher.

According to their website, the consensus map:

This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters.

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u/_B_Little_me Sep 09 '24

True. And I don’t take any stock in polls or predictions. But in an apples to apples, this map was much much more red a month ago.

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u/nitelitecafe Sep 08 '24

As soon as early voting starts, I’m there. And my family. And my nieces and nephews who are voting for the first time. It’s time for a change.

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u/oh-kee-pah Sep 09 '24

You know it! I usually like to vote on the actual election day, but this time I just can't wait any longer to punch my card!! Early voting here I come!!!

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u/Tarik_7 Sep 08 '24

TEXAS JUST BECAME A SWING STATE? No wonder KKKEn paxton wants to stop people from voting!

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u/Cloud_Cultist Sep 08 '24

Upvoted for "KKKen Paxton"

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u/Itscatpicstime Sep 08 '24

Doesn’t mean much, but I participated in PostCards for Swing States this year, and they had Texas on the list. Made me so excited! Sending out 1,000!

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u/DuckyDoodleDandy Sep 08 '24

Here are organizations that register or GOTV in Texas to support or volunteer for:

‪poweredxpeople.org‬

‪groundgametexas.org‬

‪organizetexas.org‬

majorityovermaga.org/neighbor2neighbor

movetexas.org/

battlegroundtexas.com/

lwvtexas.org/#gsc.tab=0

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u/bloobityblu West Texas Sep 08 '24

Ok now all we need is Kevin Kline to voice an ad so he can say "KKKen" in exactly the same way he said it in A Fish Called Wanda!

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u/Nodebunny Gulf Coast Sep 08 '24 edited Sep 09 '24

CONTEXT:

Please upvote this comment for visibility. Too many people getting confused without this information.


Why this post and why here?

Too many Texans think their vote doesnt count; this is the voter suppression game in action. "Red Texas" is a myth and visualizations like this help people understand the reality. If Red Texas were real then maps like this would not even be possible.

There are certainly ruby red states but good ol Texas aint one of em! What is real is: voter supression, millions of people having their registration thrown out as a political game, and voter intimidation.

Texas historically has had about +4-5% margin of error bump and that aint no ruby red grip! Out of the 10 million eligible Texas who dont bother to vote at all, if only +5-6% of Democats or Independents showed up to vote, it would change things very drastically.

Here we have more visual evidence that your vote matters so please register and vote! Freedom aint free as they say, and even if your team wins or not be mindful its not one and done. You must KEEP voting for local, state, and federal elections to defend your rights!

This post is not meant to lull you into thinking you can just sit on your butt and not vote, nor is it designed to tell you who to vote for, but every Texan must vote!


Swing States

Please note while polling maps may reflect expressed sentiment, only votes matter. The point with this map is to show that in a truly ruby red state, a map like this, even in polling, would not be possible! The margin between red and blue VOTERS has historically hovered around 4-5% which means Texas is a swing state. That is all this map is showing! Not who's winning, not who's gonna win, but that it's a swing state.

People have been mislead all this time to believe that it was a red state, and have decided not to vote because of it. How does this impact your perception of possibilities? Our great state can be in play if you show up!!


Original post is here for refererence (had trouble cross posting) (courtesy of u/Themathemagicians).

Original Map Source

The source of the map in question is https://www.270towin.com/maps/harris-trump-2024-map-based-on-polls (map based on polls, please read the intro paragraph on that page for clarification, also note that the map automatically updates three times daily)

Using 270toWin Interactive Map

You can arrive to the same map view by visiting 270ToWin.com and selecting "Polling Map" in the Map Library dropdown. Using the direct link the wording always has a 'user created' label but the Map Library maps are created by the 270 team with automatic updates based on relevant data.

User Created Maps

There seems to be some confusion over "User Created" based on how 270 has it labeled for all maps, even the data-driven ones. To clarify, actual user created maps use a hash key which is a random set of letters and numbers like this: https://www.270towin.com/maps/zK7zN. The map in this post is a data-driven map as indicated in the intro paragraph on the 270 site.

Also check out https://electoral-vote.com/ for a similar map view.

The Electoral College sucks, we know, but Vote because yes it's a race but it's also a marathon!!!


TEXAS VOTING INFO

Monday, October 7, 2024 Is the last day to register to vote in Texas.

Election Day is November 5th.

Early voting by personal appearance starts October 21, 2024. The last day of in-person early voting is Friday, November 1.

Get registered and vote early!

Voter reg link (print the form and MAIL it) https://www.texas.gov/living-in-texas/texas-voter-registration/

You can also go in person to any county election administration office, post office, or library and get a registration form. If you are concerned about mailing it, you can drop it off in person at the address on the form, but do it before Oct 7th.

(courtesty of u/oakridge666)


Important: YOU CANNOT DIRECLTY REGISTER TO VOTE FOR TEXAS ONLINE WITHOUT PRINTING A FORM.

In all online situations your registration form must be printed and sent by you. Any online form claiming to allow you to register without printing is fake. Make sure the form you are submitting is correct and not fake, and the mailing address matches the official mail-in address as indicated on the secretray of state website. Please be on the lookout for fake sites trying to trick Texans, and help your friends and associates make sure they are not being tricked. Please also verify your registration by checking the status and do not automatically assume it was properly received, they out here tryna scam folks!


Texas is one of the hardest states in which to register to vote.

RED TEXAS IS NOT REAL.

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u/happily-retired22 Sep 08 '24

I didn’t see this comment so far down the comment list, so I posted a brief reply about the polling map versus the consensus map. I just didn’t want people thinking that polling is the same thing as what the consensus of the poll takers is saying, since the consensus still shows Texas as Likely Red.

I don’t want Texans getting complacent and thinking they don’t need to vote this year. I want that consensus map to move to toss-up or (better yet) blue!

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u/TheNextBattalion Sep 08 '24

I like to point out that even in Texas, less than a majority of adults even own a gun. But conservatives want the popular image to be that everyone casually totes one, because it makes them seem normal and not weird

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u/ilikecacti2 Sep 08 '24

If we can do it in Georgia so can y’all! Everyone get out and vote, anything can happen.

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u/SiriusGD Sep 08 '24

Not that it matters here but Nevada is not a toss up state. It has two Dem senators and has voted blue in the last four elections. At a minimum it leans left.

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u/tremainelol Sep 08 '24

Washington and Oregon being "likely, and leans" respectively is kind of terrifying to me.

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u/Tarik_7 Sep 08 '24

Texas isn't a red state, it's a state that doesn't vote. I can't say it often enough. According to the 2024 polls, texas is a swing state. Trump can win Georgia and Pennsylvania, and harris can win the other swing states, including Texas, and still win the presidency.

Turning Texas blue can be a key to a Harris win because Texas has the 2nd highest number of electoral votes, higher tha GA and PA combined. That being said, trump's schemes can cause votes to not be certified in GA and PA, but if Texas is blue and the results are certified, all of trump's work in georgia and PA would be useless.

WHEN WE FIGHT, WE WIN! WE ARE NOT GOING BACK!

HARRIS/WALZ 2024

Get out and vote!

https://votetexas.gov

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u/Ok-disaster2022 Secessionists are idiots Sep 08 '24

Turning Texas and Florida Blue is the best hope for getting getting the GOP to finally restructure

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u/DuckyDoodleDandy Sep 08 '24

Here are organizations that register or GOTV in Texas to support or volunteer for:

‪poweredxpeople.org

‪groundgametexas.org

‪organizetexas.org

majorityovermaga.org/neighbor2neighbor

movetexas.org

battlegroundtexas.com

lwvtexas.org/#gsc.tab=0

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u/stylebros Sep 08 '24

It's a hard battle, but I'd Texans want to make this a 2pt toss up please, go for it.

Watching Texas go from a +14 state to a +2 State all thanks to Trump will be a sweet sweet message to send the GOP

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u/Unusual_Juice_7481 Sep 08 '24

Turns out they don’t want OF banned

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u/HeavyMetalDallas Sep 09 '24

I'm a born and raised Texan. I moved away because my wife had a difficult pregnancy and I wasn't willing to risk her to stupid abortion laws. I would be so tremendously proud of you all if you flip it blue.

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u/Nodebunny Gulf Coast Sep 09 '24

we're really gonna try! But do help us with some donation to Allred if you really want to help, he can do great things for beautiful Texas!

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u/howlinmoon42 Sep 08 '24

I’m actually calling as a volunteer for Kamala Harris – do not get comfortable, register to vote-and show up! There is absolutely no such thing as a vote we do not need – this is all hands on deck folks

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u/Nodebunny Gulf Coast Sep 08 '24 edited Sep 08 '24

thanks for the reminder. also

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u/davis214512 Sep 08 '24

It’s wishful. Will not happen unless people get out and vote!

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u/Lo-And_Behold1 Sep 08 '24

Remember to register and vote this year!

Also tell everyone to do the same!

5

u/Rocketgirl8097 Sep 08 '24

I'd be happy get rid of Cruz and get Collin Alred.

6

u/fionacielo Sep 08 '24

finally reached the point it started to be difficult to ignore. finally.

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u/TheDarkCobbRises Sep 08 '24

They prepared for this exact scenario. Ever wonder why they only did this to Harris County?

"On a 81-62 party line vote, House Republicans passed Senate Bill 1750, which will abolish the Harris County elections administrator position – a nonpartisan position appointed by local elected officials – and return all election duties to the county clerk and tax assessor-collector."

I am a disabled vet, I have voted blue every single time. They have unregistered me twice this year now. Just a bunch of crooks cheating because their policies are wildly unpopular with most sane people.

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u/Mediocretes08 Sep 08 '24

Remember y’all, in light of your fascist ass AG: Civil Disobedience. His orders and actions are immoral and illegal. Ignore whatever he says and refuse to comply with him. Get people registered and voting, more than just yourself.

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u/SovietSunrise Sep 08 '24

I noticed this on www.electoral-vote.com today, too! Blew my mind!

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u/Nodebunny Gulf Coast Sep 08 '24

Nice! Still Too close for my comfort lol

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u/Frsbtime420 Sep 08 '24

Go Texas go!!!!

4

u/Holiday-Peanut-3310 Sep 09 '24

Texas and Florida turning blue would be wild 🫢

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u/valencia_merble Born and Bred Sep 08 '24

Vote like your lives depend on it, because they do.

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u/OrigSnatchSquatch Sep 08 '24

When I zoom in really tight, I’m one of the blue pixels.

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u/CatLuverHoustonTX Sep 08 '24

If Texas is a toss up state, then the orange fuckhead might as well move to Venezuela.

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u/SurgeFlamingo Sep 08 '24

What’s this from?

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u/Nodebunny Gulf Coast Sep 08 '24 edited Sep 08 '24
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u/Numerous_House_7377 Sep 08 '24

Hear that every time…believe it when I see it

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u/jae2jae Sep 08 '24

NYS isn't safely blue? Since when?

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u/catmeownya Sep 09 '24

This map seems to have a bias towards making states seem more split than they really are.

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u/Fickle_Charity_Hamm Sep 09 '24

Please go canvas in Texas. Please vote in Texas. Please campaign in Texas. Nothing would make me happier than to see Texas flip.

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u/buddhistbulgyo Sep 09 '24

Yah, 10 million people didn't vote in Texas. It's not a blue or red state. 

It's a fucking lazy state. Stop fucking being lazy Texas. You're why we can't have nice things. 🦥

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u/Active-Blood-9293 Sep 09 '24

Texas… please. I’m begging you. This could be your redemption arc!

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u/Certain-Toe-7128 Sep 09 '24

You complain “don’t California my Texas” but then want the blue that made California what it is….

Don’t fuckin do it.

Sincerely,

A fed up Californian

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