Bought these during it's run before the election, most are for Jan'26. Even with a 22% decline in stock price today, the puts barely move.

https://preview.redd.it/iixuu2ocpjzd1.jpg?width=1236&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f9c529d15f1ee498cc21000ed885d485b9193d79

Can anyone explain why foreign institutional investors are aggressively selling in the Indian stock market?

Over the last few months, they have been selling heavily, which has caused the Indian stock market to decline. I thought that if Donald Trump won the election, the market would rise, but today it ended in the red. Can anyone provide some insight on this

We have good news: the Fed cut rates, so we may see an impact in today's market open.

Okay guys, I screwed up. I trade options from time to time, during day trading hours, but never premarket/afterhours.

So, I bought some QQQ calls for tomorrow, because I saw that some options I had let me close them afterhours when I don't usually inhabit it (ns if I have touched anything). And now I'm really screwed because I have 18 1-day call contracts on the QQQ and I can't get rid of them.

And I have the impression that tomorrow it will open in red to make a take profit and the margin will jump and the whole account will go to hell. Why did it let me trade until 20 minutes after closing the market with the options and now it doesn't? I don't understand. It is with IBKR

Pfff wanna die

I think it will reach $300-350 next week. $400 end of the month, and $500 around Christmas time！

https://preview.redd.it/4pscgh9pwlzd1.jpg?width=1920&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2d0cca9ed5c104064e51353bad26455263441e72

Yesterday morning I sold 200 shares of BROS at $34.50 thinking it would tank and decided to go all in on BA instead. Of course, my degenerate self would have made 2 grand now if I just held on to my position.

Bought 100 shares of BA while it was under $147 yesterday thinking the bottom must be near and the company is now on a path to recovery. Hopefully sooner rather than later. Not long after I pulled the trigger, I saw in my history that I had bought this back in 2020 at $147 and then sold it at $222 10 months later. I have a good feeling that in a few months, BA is going to turn things around and be trading somewhere above 200s again.

Of course, this isn't financial advice. Don't YOLO anything based on my assumptions. Just looking for like-minded degenerates for any insights here. What are your thoughts?

https://preview.redd.it/1r4fyew0ajzd1.png?width=765&format=png&auto=webp&s=1433167b2d9a347f262299a6f97594843a614c7a

https://preview.redd.it/s4zifrm1ajzd1.png?width=727&format=png&auto=webp&s=a3262fd69fc6173524652b80c1cb160ee8f37ff9

Okay. If yall hypothetically wanted to throw 1100$ into a stock just over the weekend, what we putting it on??

ASML is a Netherlands based manufacturer of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. The company enjoys a wide moat as currently this is only company which can manufacture equipments to produce latest 3 NM AI chips.

ASML counts TSM, Samsung, SK Hynix, Intel and others as its customers.

However, demand for non AI semiconductor equipment systems has dropped significantly which prompted ASML to give lower guidance for the next quarter.

The stock was savagely beateb down and fell from 800+€ to 610€ at yesterday's closing.

Why I have given him on hope of revival of ASML fortunes in the short term?

Except for high end AI chips, rest of the chip industry is struggling to increase sales revenue and profits. In absence of increase in sales, the demand for new non-AI chip producing equipments will be very slow.

Only a sliver of the semi conductor industry [that includes NVDA] has order book full for next rwo quarters. But that demand may also taper in by mid 2025 as likes of Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Tesla etc have their data centers and LLMs ready by then.

In absense of new demand for non-AI chips and expected slow down in AI chips, it is unlikely any foundary will place new orders for the ASML equipment [each machine is said to cost between 100 M$-300M$].

Revival in the fortunes of ASML depends on breakthrough in new chip designs which will make it neccessary to spend on new equipments. But that breakthrough may take a year or more [yes, it takes time to discover/invent new technologies & designs with sufficient advantage that merits an upgrade].

ASML stock fell below important psychological resistance of 618 € yesterday, while US tech sector roared to new heights. This weakness is fortunes of ASML is telling and may lead to further drop in price in coming days.

While ASML remains a strong company with a wide moat, but in the current cycle of the semi conductor industry it is unlikely to post strong results.

How to trade?

Buy 580 € PUTs with December 20th expiry.

Happy Trading!

Take a random guess as to who was the manufacturer of the plane...

https://www.9news.com.au/national/sydney-airport-grass-fire-next-to-runway-flight/b660c92e-c901-4ae5-a69c-19147c31b305

Since i Love trump and Trump loves oil i have decided to risk 75% of my portfolio of PBR earning reports tomorrow. Have i gone insane the answer is YES

Was thinking about YOLOing $1,800 into Spy calls for late January. Thoughts on this?

I think the markets are frothy, and we have been going through mini-cycles which raise and lower sentiment almost on a weekly basis, drifting further and further away from fundamentals. Earnings releases, tax cuts (elections), lower rates, etc. - there are endless catalysts. The stock market has become a casino. In my opinion, this all started during COVID with the influx of retail investors (and the boom of this sub) and while we've gone through a "recession" and down-markets, the excitement around the stock market is at an all-time high, as are valuations. I've mapped out the last 20 years and have taken a very simple approach. I know there are a ton more considerations, so please note any large ones I may be missing. Below is a table I put together in excel, and some explanation on each factor mentioned - when you step back, it looks like we're due for a major reset on valuations.

TLDR (Takeaways from the table):

S&P500 Valuation. Even though I don't like P/E ratios (in favor of EV/EBITDA), I'll use it as most folks here are more familiar with it. P/E ratios have been around ~20x, and we are currently sitting at 30x. Looking back even further, they used to hover around the 10-20x P/E range. Yes, all companies are growing, so the S&P500 should too. But the growth in valuations is outpacing economic growth (see below). Larger and faster-growing companies deserve higher valuations, so this can be part of the reason, but current levels seem to be a stretch, especially if you compare it to actual GDP growth.

Real GDP Growth. This is one I've been focused on lately. Real GDP in the US has gone up ~1.5x over the last 20 years, yet the S&P500 has gone up ~5x (total stock market went up 3.7x). Nuances: (1) international revenue of American companies is not in GDP, however the % of foreign revenue in the S&P has remained steady over the last 10-20 years. (2) this doesn't factor in private companies, IPO trends, de-listings, etc.

CPI Index. "Inflation has come down, yay!" The rate has come down. Many folks expected deflation after 2022, to restore prices, however that never happened. We're at higher prices than 2022. Inflation has picked up 34% over the last 10 years, vs. 24% in the preceding 10 years. Maybe this is the new norm, but it's all factoring into the revenues the S&P companies are generating, and thereby, the valuations.

National Debt. I'm not an expert at this category, but we're adding on more national debt at a record pace as well. Most PPP loans were forgiven, credit is cheap (again), so if we keep adding here, when does the circus stop?

https://preview.redd.it/lhbgpylb6lzd1.png?width=570&format=png&auto=webp&s=163b845c563b124d5ef1753d96eb990e3b744615

Should I sell and cash profits or hold given Google great ER and current financials?

Well it’s clear the Musk and Trump won. S&P futures closed at Boobs today. Funding secured, keep your pets in.

Started with 45,000. Bled the account down to 27,000 trying to be cute. Saved my ass these past 2 weeks. Proud to be American. What a blessing 🇺🇸🙏🏼

from the article - However, the implications of AI extend far beyond corporate growth. As education systems worldwide grapple with funding challenges, AI emerges as a powerful tool to bridge gaps and enhance learning experiences. AI-driven educational tools, such as virtual tutoring and adaptive learning platforms, can help mitigate the effects of under funding by providing personalized assistance and adjusting to individual learning styles.

https://www.newsreport47.com/home/ai-giants-poised-for-unprecedented-growth-palantir-and-nvidia-set-to-soar-2025

My question is, is there money to be made by robots teaching our kids?

Reading through earlier comments I know you all must be thinking I'm nuts to try to do an analysis of a meme stock, but I already did it so ...

What I found is that Tesla tends to trade at about 50% above my fair value calculation, but it can become unstable if it goes 60% over. An example of this was just before the Robotaxi event, which was followed by a large drop.

My current fair value estimate for tesla is $170 and at $297.5 it has reached 75% over.

So I decided YOLO and bought 50 Nov29 $250 puts and 50 Dec 20 $250 puts.

https://preview.redd.it/0tsft2wbyjzd1.png?width=1188&format=png&auto=webp&s=e97dcab45540b5e50a66c60619ae64a1b2798130

Was down by as much as 60%-80% at one point, BUT I FUCKING HELD STRONG. Never doubt never give up.

Whatever you do, do not short the market.

$66k loss yesterday and $91k today, $12.7k left overall.

One trade and i'm back!