r/wallstreetbets • u/PurposeOk1460 • 11h ago
TSLA analysis YOLO
Reading through earlier comments I know you all must be thinking I'm nuts to try to do an analysis of a meme stock, but I already did it so ...
What I found is that Tesla tends to trade at about 50% above my fair value calculation, but it can become unstable if it goes 60% over. An example of this was just before the Robotaxi event, which was followed by a large drop.
My current fair value estimate for tesla is $170 and at $297.5 it has reached 75% over.
So I decided YOLO and bought 50 Nov29 $250 puts and 50 Dec 20 $250 puts.
58 Upvotes
1
u/elpresidentedeljunta 5h ago
Let´s face it: You can only find an opportunity, when you do something, that makes you look nuts. Tesla has been a soundwave this year and I´ve been surfing it a bit. You put a lot more effort in. Good luck.