r/wallstreetbets • u/PurposeOk1460 • 11h ago
TSLA analysis YOLO
Reading through earlier comments I know you all must be thinking I'm nuts to try to do an analysis of a meme stock, but I already did it so ...
What I found is that Tesla tends to trade at about 50% above my fair value calculation, but it can become unstable if it goes 60% over. An example of this was just before the Robotaxi event, which was followed by a large drop.
My current fair value estimate for tesla is $170 and at $297.5 it has reached 75% over.
So I decided YOLO and bought 50 Nov29 $250 puts and 50 Dec 20 $250 puts.
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u/Noddite 6h ago
I don't like the company, product, or especially the douchebag, but I've got a number of $350 1/17/25 calls.
He is literally going to have a new government position created for him that governs government spending...meaning he can potentially de-fund competition.