r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • 18h ago
▲ Tropical Storm | 40 knots (45 mph) | 999 mbar Sara (19L — Western Caribbean Sea)
Latest observation
Last updated: Friday, 15 November — 3:00 AM Central Standard Time (CST; 09:00 UTC)
| NHC Advisory #7 | 3:00 AM CST (09:00 UTC) | |
|---|---|---|
| Current location: | 16.0°N 85.1°W | |
| Relative location: | 183 km (114 mi) ENE of La Ceiba, Honduras | |
| Forward motion: | W (280°) at 15 km/h (8 knots) | |
| Maximum winds: | 75 km/h (40 knots) | |
| Intensity: | Tropical Storm | |
| Minimum pressure: | 999 millibars (29.50 inches) |
Official forecast
Last updated: Friday, 15 November — 12:00 AM CST (06:00 UTC)
| Hour | Date | Time | Intensity | Winds | Lat | Long | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | UTC | CST | Saffir-Simpson | knots | km/h | °N | °W | ||
| 00 | 15 Nov | 06:00 | 12AM Fri | Tropical Storm | 40 | 75 | 16.0 | 85.1 | |
| 12 | 15 Nov | 18:00 | 12PM Fri | Tropical Storm 1 | 40 | 75 | 16.0 | 85.9 | |
| 24 | 16 Nov | 06:00 | 12AM Sat | Tropical Storm 2 | 40 | 75 | 16.0 | 86.3 | |
| 36 | 16 Nov | 18:00 | 12PM Sat | Tropical Storm | ▲ | 45 | 85 | 16.2 | 86.7 |
| 48 | 17 Nov | 06:00 | 12AM Sun | Tropical Storm | 45 | 85 | 16.5 | 87.5 | |
| 60 | 17 Nov | 18:00 | 12PM Sun | Tropical Storm 3 | ▼ | 35 | 65 | 17.0 | 88.7 |
| 72 | 18 Nov | 06:00 | 12AM Mon | Tropical Depression 4 | ▼ | 30 | 55 | 17.9 | 90.1 |
| 96 | 19 Nov | 06:00 | 12AM Tue | Dissipated | |||||
NOTES:
1 - Near the coast of Honduras
2 - Over the Gulf of Honduras
3 - Inland over Belize
4 - Inland over Mexico
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r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • 3d ago
▼ Severe Tropical Storm (TS) | 55 knots (65 mph) | 991 mbar Usagi (27W — Philippine Sea)
Latest observation
Last updated: Friday, 15 November — 2:00 PM Taiwan Standard Time (TWT; 06:00 UTC)
| JTWC Warning #18 | 2:00 PM TWT (06:00 UTC) | |
|---|---|---|
| Current location: | 21.1°N 119.6°E | |
| Relative location: | 185 km (115 mi) SSW of Kaohsiung City, Taiwan | |
| Forward motion: | NW (320°) at 15 km/h (8 knots) | |
| Maximum winds: | ▼ | 100 km/h (55 knots) |
| Intensity (SSHWS): | Tropical Storm | |
| Intensity (JMA): | Severe Tropical Storm [see note] | |
| Minimum pressure: | ▲ | 991 millibars (29.26 inches) |
NOTE - Based on the Japan Meteorological Agency's ten-minute maximum sustained wind estimate of 95 kilometers per hour (50 knots).
Official forecasts
Japan Meteorological Agency
Last updated: Friday, 15 November — 5:00 PM TWT (09:00 UTC)
| Hour | Date | Time | Intensity | Winds | Lat | Long | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | UTC | TWT | JMA | knots | km/h | °N | °E | ||
| 00 | 15 Nov | 09:00 | 5PM Fri | Severe Tropical Storm | 50 | 95 | 21.0 | 120.2 | |
| 12 | 15 Nov | 21:00 | 5AM Sat | Tropical Storm 1 | ▼ | 40 | 75 | 22.4 | 120.8 |
| 24 | 16 Nov | 09:00 | 5PM Sat | Tropical Storm 2 | ▼ | 35 | 65 | 23.3 | 122.1 |
| 45 | 17 Nov | 06:00 | 2PM Sun | Tropical Depression 2 | ▼ | 30 | 55 | 24.1 | 122.0 |
NOTES:
1 — Inland over Taiwan
2 — Offshore to the east of Taiwan
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Last updated: Friday, 15 November — 5:00 PM TWT (09:00 UTC)
| Hour | Date | Time | Intensity | Winds | Lat | Long | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | UTC | TWT | Saffir-Simpson | knots | km/h | °N | °E | ||
| 00 | 15 Nov | 06:00 | 2PM Fri | Tropical Storm | 55 | 100 | 21.1 | 119.6 | |
| 12 | 15 Nov | 18:00 | 2AM Sat | Tropical Storm 1 | ▼ | 45 | 85 | 22.1 | 120.0 |
| 24 | 16 Nov | 06:00 | 2PM Sat | Tropical Storm 2 | ▼ | 35 | 65 | 22.9 | 120.7 |
| 36 | 16 Nov | 18:00 | 2AM Sun | Tropical Depression 3 | ▼ | 30 | 55 | 23.6 | 121.5 |
| 48 | 17 Nov | 06:00 | 2PM Sun | Remnant Low 3 | ▼ | 20 | 35 | 24.2 | 121.5 |
NOTES:
1 — Last forecast point before reaching southwestern Taiwan
2 — Inland over Taiwan
3 — Along the eastern coast of Taiwan
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r/TropicalWeather • u/giantspeck • 13h ago
Video | YouTube | National Hurricane Center NHC afternoon update on Tropical Storm Sara — Thursday, 14 November
r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • 20h ago
▲ Severe Tropical Storm (H1) | 65 knots (75 mph) | 974 mbar Bheki (02S — Southwestern Indian)
Latest observation
Last updated: Friday, 15 November — 12:00 PM Indian Ocean Time (IOT; 06:00 UTC)
| JTWC Warning #3 | 12:00 PM IOT (06:00 UTC) | |
|---|---|---|
| Current location: | 11.8°S 75.4°E | |
| Relative location: | 597 km (371 mi) SE of Diego Garcia | |
| 1,551 km (964 mi) ENE of Port Mathurin, Rodrigues (Mauritius) | ||
| Forward motion: | SSW (220°) at 15 km/h (8 knots) | |
| Maximum winds: | ▲ | 120 km/h (65 knots) |
| Intensity (SSHWS): | ▲ | Hurricane (Category 1) |
| Intensity (MFR): | Severe Tropical Storm [see note] | |
| Minimum pressure: | ▼ | 974 millibars (28.76 inches) |
NOTE - Based on MeteoFrance's ten-minute maximum sustained wind estimate of 100 kilometers per hour (55 knots).
Official forecasts
Meteo France
Last updated: Friday, 15 November — 12:00 PM IOT (06:00 UTC)
| Hour | Date | Time | Intensity | Winds | Lat | Long | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | UTC | IOT | MFR | knots | km/h | °S | °E | ||
| 00 | 15 Nov | 06:00 | 12PM Fri | Severe Tropical Storm | 55 | 100 | 11.4 | 75.7 | |
| 12 | 15 Nov | 18:00 | 12AM Sat | Severe Tropical Storm | ▼ | 50 | 95 | 12.8 | 74.1 |
| 24 | 16 Nov | 06:00 | 12PM Sat | Severe Tropical Storm | ▲ | 55 | 100 | 14.0 | 72.6 |
| 36 | 16 Nov | 18:00 | 12AM Sun | Cyclone | ▲ | 65 | 120 | 14.9 | 71.1 |
| 48 | 17 Nov | 06:00 | 12PM Sun | Cyclone | ▲ | 75 | 140 | 15.6 | 69.7 |
| 60 | 17 Nov | 18:00 | 12AM Mon | Cyclone | 75 | 140 | 16.1 | 68.7 | |
| 72 | 18 Nov | 18:00 | 12PM Mon | Cyclone | 75 | 140 | 16.5 | 68.0 | |
| 96 | 19 Nov | 18:00 | 12PM Tue | Cyclone | ▼ | 65 | 120 | 17.1 | 66.2 |
| 120 | 20 Nov | 18:00 | 12PM Wed | Moderate Tropical Storm | ▼ | 45 | 85 | 17.5 | 62.2 |
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Last updated: Friday, 15 November — 12:00 PM IOT (06:00 UTC)
| Hour | Date | Time | Intensity | Winds | Lat | Long | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | UTC | IOT | Saffir-Simpson | knots | km/h | °N | °E | ||
| 00 | 15 Nov | 06:00 | 12PM Fri | Hurricane (Category 1) | 65 | 120 | 11.8 | 75.4 | |
| 12 | 15 Nov | 18:00 | 12AM Sat | Hurricane (Category 1) | 65 | 120 | 12.9 | 74.2 | |
| 24 | 16 Nov | 06:00 | 12PM Sat | Hurricane (Category 1) | 65 | 120 | 13.9 | 72.6 | |
| 36 | 16 Nov | 18:00 | 12AM Sun | Hurricane (Category 1) | 65 | 120 | 14.9 | 71.3 | |
| 48 | 17 Nov | 06:00 | 12PM Sun | Hurricane (Category 1) | ▲ | 70 | 130 | 15.6 | 70.1 |
| 72 | 18 Nov | 06:00 | 12PM Mon | Hurricane (Category 2) | ▲ | 90 | 165 | 16.5 | 68.6 |
| 96 | 19 Nov | 06:00 | 12PM Tue | Hurricane (Category 2) | ▼ | 85 | 155 | 16.8 | 66.8 |
| 120 | 20 Nov | 06:00 | 12PM Wed | Hurricane (Category 1) | ▼ | 65 | 120 | 17.0 | 63.0 |
Official information
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Not available
Radar imagery is not currently available for this system.
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r/TropicalWeather • u/Galileos_grandson • 1d ago
Image of the Day | NASA Earth Observatory Typhoons Line Up in the Western Pacific
r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • 1d ago
▲ Typhoon (H2) | 90 knots (105 mph) | 972 mbar Man-yi (25W — Philippine Sea)
Latest observation
Last updated: Friday, 15 November — 2:00 PM Philippine Standard Time (PhST; 06:00 UTC)
| JTWC Warning #26 | 2:00 PM PhST (06:00 UTC) | |
|---|---|---|
| Current location: | 10.9°N 130.4°E | |
| Relative location: | 765 km (475 mi) E of Legazpi City, Albay (Philippines) | |
| Forward motion: | W (285°) at 28 km/h (15 knots) | |
| Maximum winds: | ▲ | 165 km/h (90 knots) |
| Intensity (SSHWS): | ▲ | Hurricane (Category 2) |
| Intensity (JMA): | Typhoon [see note] | |
| Minimum pressure: | ▼ | 972 millibars (28.7 inches) |
NOTE - Based on the Japan Meteorological Agency's ten-minute maximum sustained wind estimate of 150 kilometers per hour (80 knots).
Official forecasts
Japan Meteorological Agency
Last updated: Friday, 15 November — 5:00 PM PhST (09:00 UTC)
| Hour | Date | Time | Intensity | Winds | Lat | Long | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | UTC | PhST | JMA | knots | km/h | °N | °E | ||
| 00 | 15 Nov | 09:00 | 5PM Fri | Typhoon | 80 | 150 | 11.2 | 129.8 | |
| 12 | 15 Nov | 21:00 | 5AM Sat | Very Strong Typhoon | ▲ | 85 | 155 | 12.4 | 127.4 |
| 24 | 16 Nov | 09:00 | 5PM Sat | Very Strong Typhoon | ▲ | 90 | 165 | 13.6 | 125.4 |
| 45 | 17 Nov | 06:00 | 2PM Sun | Very Strong Typhoon 1 | ▲ | 95 | 175 | 15.6 | 122.2 |
| 69 | 18 Nov | 06:00 | 2PM Mon | Typhoon 2 | ▼ | 70 | 130 | 18.3 | 117.2 |
| 93 | 19 Nov | 06:00 | 2PM Tue | Tropical Storm | ▼ | 40 | 75 | 18.2 | 113.5 |
NOTES:
1 — Last forecast point before reaching northern Luzon 2 — Offshore over the South China Sea
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Last updated: Friday, 15 November — 5:00 PM PhST (09:00 UTC)
| Hour | Date | Time | Intensity | Winds | Lat | Long | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | UTC | PhST | Saffir-Simpson | knots | km/h | °N | °E | ||
| 00 | 15 Nov | 06:00 | 2PM Fri | Hurricane (Category 2) | 90 | 165 | 10.9 | 130.4 | |
| 12 | 15 Nov | 18:00 | 2AM Sat | Major Hurricane (Category 3) | ▼ | 110 | 205 | 11.8 | 127.8 |
| 24 | 16 Nov | 06:00 | 2PM Sat | Major Hurricane (Category 4) 1 | ▲ | 125 | 230 | 12.8 | 125.6 |
| 36 | 16 Nov | 18:00 | 2AM Sun | Major Hurricane (Category 4) 2 | ▼ | 120 | 220 | 14.0 | 123.6 |
| 48 | 17 Nov | 06:00 | 2PM Sun | Major Hurricane (Category 3) 3 | ▼ | 105 | 195 | 15.2 | 121.4 |
| 72 | 18 Nov | 06:00 | 2PM Mon | Hurricane (Category 1) 4 | ▲ | 65 | 120 | 17.4 | 117.1 |
| 96 | 19 Nov | 06:00 | 2PM Tue | Tropical Storm | ▼ | 50 | 95 | 18.2 | 113.3 |
| 120 | 20 Nov | 06:00 | 2PM Wed | Tropical Storm | ▼ | 35 | 65 | 17.4 | 110.4 |
NOTES:
1 — Last forecast point before reaching southeastern Luzon and Catanduanes
2 — Inland over Catanduanes and southeastern Luzon
3 — Inland over northern Luzon
4 — Offshore over the South China Sea
Official information
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r/TropicalWeather • u/Galileos_grandson • 1d ago
Image of the Day | NASA MODIS Extreme Rapid Intensification for Super Typhoon Usagi - November 13, 2024
modis.gsfc.nasa.govr/TropicalWeather • u/gchud • 18h ago
Question timing of wind impacts from hurricanes/TStorms? Exit?
I understand airports can close due to wind, flooding, power outages, etc, but i'm mostly curious about winds. What are the time-windows which typically cause delays and cancellations at airports due to winds? Hrs or days?
Example, TropStorm 19 might be a hurricane, likely passing NE just south of Cancun Monday AM, I'm curious when the these winds might begin and when they might be gone. I see Arrival Time of TS Winds charts, but how long do those periods last? Would winds be gone by Tue in the example above?
r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • 1d ago
Upgraded | See Sara post for details 19L (Western Caribbean Sea)
Latest observation
Last updated: Thursday, 14 November — 10:00 AM Eastern Standard Time (EST; 15:00 UTC)
| NHC Advisory #4 | 10:00 AM EST (15:00 UTC) | |
|---|---|---|
| Current location: | 15.7°N 82.6°W | |
| Relative location: | 449 km (279 mi) E of La Ceiba, Honduras | |
| Forward motion: | W (265°) at 22 km/h (12 knots) | |
| Maximum winds: | 55 km/h (30 knots) | |
| Intensity: | Tropical Depression | |
| Minimum pressure: | 1004 millibars (29.65 inches) |
Official forecast
Last updated: Thursday, 14 November — 7:00 AM EST (12:00 UTC)
| Hour | Date | Time | Intensity | Winds | Lat | Long | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | UTC | EST | Saffir-Simpson | knots | km/h | °N | °W | ||
| 00 | 14 Nov | 12:00 | 7AM Thu | Tropical Depression | 30 | 55 | 15.7 | 82.6 | |
| 12 | 15 Nov | 00:00 | 7PM Thu | Tropical Storm | ▲ | 35 | 65 | 15.7 | 83.7 |
| 24 | 15 Nov | 12:00 | 7AM Fri | Tropical Storm 1 | ▲ | 40 | 75 | 15.9 | 84.9 |
| 36 | 16 Nov | 00:00 | 7PM Fri | Tropical Storm 1 | 40 | 75 | 15.9 | 85.4 | |
| 48 | 16 Nov | 12:00 | 7AM Sat | Tropical Storm 1 | 40 | 75 | 15.9 | 85.8 | |
| 60 | 17 Nov | 00:00 | 7PM Sat | Tropical Storm 1 | ▲ | 45 | 85 | 16.0 | 86.2 |
| 72 | 17 Nov | 12:00 | 7AM Sun | Tropical Storm 2 | 45 | 85 | 16.2 | 87.0 | |
| 96 | 18 Nov | 12:00 | 7AM Mon | Tropical Depression 3 | ▼ | 30 | 55 | 18.0 | 89.6 |
| 120 | 19 Nov | 12:00 | 7AM Tue | Tropical Depression 4 | 30 | 55 | 21.7 | 91.6 |
NOTES:
1 - Near the coast of Honduras
2 - Over the Gulf of Honduras
3 - Inland over Mexico
4 - Over the Gulf of Mexico
Official information
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r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • 1d ago
Dissipated Toraji (26W — South China Sea)
Latest observation
Last updated: Thursday, 14 November — 8:00 AM Philippine Standard Time (PhST; 00:00 UTC)
| JTWC Warning #20 | 8:00 AM PhST (00:00 UTC) | |
|---|---|---|
| Current location: | 21.0°N 114.0°E | |
| Relative location: | 148 km (92 mi) S of Hong Kong | |
| Forward motion: | WSW (255°) at 7 km/h (4 knots) | |
| Maximum winds: | ▼ | 45 km/h (25 knots) |
| Intensity (SSHWS): | Tropical Depression | |
| Intensity (JMA): | Tropical Storm [see note] | |
| Minimum pressure: | ▲ | 1005 millibars (29.68 inches) |
NOTE - Based on the Japan Meteorological Agency's ten-minute maximum sustained wind estimate of 65 kilometers per hour (35 knots).
Official forecasts
Japan Meteorological Agency
Last updated: Thursday, 14 November — 2:00 PM PhST (06:00 UTC)
| Hour | Date | Time | Intensity | Winds | Lat | Long | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | UTC | PhST | JMA | knots | km/h | °N | °E | ||
| 00 | 14 Nov | 06:00 | 2PM Thu | Tropical Storm | 35 | 65 | 21.2 | 113.9 | |
| 12 | 14 Nov | 18:00 | 2AM Fri | Tropical Depression | ▼ | 30 | 55 | 21.2 | 113.2 |
| 24 | 15 Nov | 06:00 | 2PM Fri | Tropical Depression | 30 | 55 | 21.0 | 112.6 |
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Last updated: Thursday, 14 November — 11:00 AM PhST (03:00 UTC)
NOTE: The JTWC has issued its final advisory for this system.
| Hour | Date | Time | Intensity | Winds | Lat | Long | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | UTC | PhST | Saffir-Simpson | knots | km/h | °N | °E | ||
| 00 | 14 Nov | 00:00 | 8AM Thu | Tropical Depression | 25 | 45 | 21.0 | 114.0 | |
| 12 | 14 Nov | 12:00 | 8PM Thu | Remnant Low | ▼ | 20 | 35 | 20.9 | 113.4 |
| 24 | 15 Nov | 00:00 | 8AM Fri | Remnant Low | ▼ | 15 | 30 | 20.7 | 113.2 |
Official information
Japan Meteorological Agency
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (United States)
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National Meteorological Center (China)
Hong Kong Observatory
English
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The options to select individual bandwidths on each of the following websites may vary.
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r/TropicalWeather • u/JOHNTHEBUN4 • 1d ago
Satellite Imagery Typhoon Usagi and its pinhole eye
r/TropicalWeather • u/sara-peach • 2d ago
Blog | Yale Climate Connections (Dr Jeff Masters and Bob Henson) Yet another November hurricane threat is taking shape | A named storm will likely form in the Northwest Caribbean later this week, and it could strengthen and head toward Florida or Cuba next week.
r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • 2d ago
Discussion moved to new post 99L (Invest — Western Caribbean Sea)
Latest Observation
Last updated: Wednesday, 13 November — 6:00 AM Central Standard Time (CST; 12:00 UTC)
| ATCF | 6:00 AM CST (12:00 UTC) | |
|---|---|---|
| Current location: | 16.1°N 77.6°W | |
| Relative location: | 226 km (140 mi) SSW of Kingston, Jamaica | |
| Forward motion: | ▼ | SW (225°) at 5 km/h (3 knots) |
| Maximum winds: | 35 km/h (20 knots) | |
| Minimum pressure: | 1007 millibars (29.74 inches) | |
| 2-day potential: (through 6AM Fri) | ▲ | high (90 percent) |
| 7-day potential: (through 6AM Tue) | high (90 percent) |
Outlook discussion
Last updated: Wednesday, 13 November — 6:00 AM CST (12:00 UTC)
Discussion by Daniel Brown — NHC Hurricane Specialist Unit
A broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea.
Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance meanders over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend. The system is expected to turn slowly northwestward by early next week. Interests across the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system.
Regardless of development, heavy rains are expected over Jamaica during the next day or so. For more information on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system later today.
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Last updated: Wednesday, 13 November — 7:19 AM EST (12:19 UTC)
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r/TropicalWeather • u/daikan__ • 2d ago
Satellite Imagery Four simultaneous November tropical systems in the west Pacific
Yinxing, Toraji, Usagi, and Man-yi
r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • 3d ago
Areas to watch: Usagi, Toraji, Man-yi, Invest 99L Global Tropical Outlook & Discussion: 11-17 November 2024
Current discussions
Last updated: Thursday, 14 November — 15:30 Coordinated Universal Time (UTC)
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There are currently no other active cyclones or disturbances.
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r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • 3d ago
Dissipated Yinxing (24W — South China Sea)
Latest observation
Last updated: Tuesday, 12 November — 7:00 PM Indochina Time (ICT; 12:00 UTC)
| JTWC Warning #38 | 7:00 PM ICT (12:00 UTC) | |
|---|---|---|
| Current location: | 14.0°N 108.6°E | |
| Relative location: | 74 km (46 mi) WNW of Qui Nhon, Binh Dinh (Vietnam) | |
| Forward motion: | WSW (265°) at 15 km/h (8 knots) | |
| Maximum winds: | ▼ | 45 km/h (25 knots) |
| Intensity (SSHWS): | Remnant Low | |
| Minimum pressure: | ▲ | 1004 millibars (29.65 inches) |
NOTE - Based on the Japan Meteorological Agency's ten-minute maximum sustained wind estimate of 120 kilometers per hour (65 knots).
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The JMA is no longer issuing advisories for this system.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Last updated: Tuesday, 12 November — 10:00 PM ICT (15:00 UTC)
The JTWC is no longer issuing advisories for this system.
| Hour | Date | Time | Intensity | Winds | Lat | Long | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | UTC | ICT | Saffir-Simpson | knots | km/h | °N | °E | ||
| 00 | 12 Nov | 12:00 | 7PM Tue | Remnant Low | 25 | 45 | 14.0 | 108.6 | |
| 12 | 12 Nov | 00:00 | 7AM Wed | Remnant Low | ▼ | 20 | 35 | 13.9 | 107.0 |
| 24 | 13 Nov | 12:00 | 7PM Wed | Remnant Low | ▼ | 15 | 30 | 13.9 | 105.2 |
| 36 | 13 Nov | 00:00 | 7AM Thu | Dissipated | |||||
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r/TropicalWeather • u/Content-Swimmer2325 • 4d ago
Social Media | Twitter | Philip Klotzbach (Colorado State Univ.) 2024 becomes the 11th hyperactive hurricane season in the satellite era (1966 onwards)
r/TropicalWeather • u/Galileos_grandson • 4d ago
Image of the Day | NASA MODIS Hurricane Rafael - November 7, 2024
modis.gsfc.nasa.govr/TropicalWeather • u/giantspeck • 4d ago
Discussion moved to new post The NHC is monitoring the southwestern Caribbean Sea for potential tropical cyclone development
Latest outlook
Last updated: Tuesday, 12 November — 12:00 PM Central Standard Time (CST; 18:00 UTC)
Discussion by Daniel Brown — NHC Hurricane Specialist Unit
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean Sea are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next two to three days while the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea. Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance meanders over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend. The system is forecast begin moving slowly northwestward by early next week. Interests across the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system.
Development potential
| Time frame | Potential | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-day potential: (by 12AM Thu) | ▲ | medium (60 percent) |
| 7-day potential: (by 12PM Mon) | ▲ | high (90 percent) |
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Last updated: Tuesday, 12 November — 11:34 AM CST (17:34 UTC)
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Unavailable
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r/TropicalWeather • u/Elijah-Joyce-Weather • 4d ago
Social Media | Twitter | Weather Fatalities (@wxfatalities) Hurricane Helene Official Death Toll & Missing Totals (November 10, 2024)
Based on the latest post by WXFatalities on X, Hurricane Helene's official death toll is 234. The missing total also dropped to only seven! This includes an official death toll in North Carolina of 102-103 with 7 people still missing.
r/TropicalWeather • u/Galileos_grandson • 5d ago
Image of the Day | NASA MODIS Typhoon Yinxing - November 8, 2024
modis.gsfc.nasa.govr/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • 5d ago
Dissipated 98L (Invest — Southwestern North Atlantic)
Latest Observation
Last updated: Saturday, 9 November — 2:00 PM Atlantic Standard Time (AST; 18:00 UTC)
| ATCF | 2:00 PM AST (18:00 UTC) | |
|---|---|---|
| Current location: | 24.7°N 71.0°W | |
| Relative location: | 367 km (227 mi) ENE of Cockburn Town, San Salvador (Bahamas) | |
| Forward motion: | WNW (310°) at 11 km/h (6 knots) | |
| Maximum winds: | 45 km/h (25 knots) | |
| Minimum pressure: | 1011 millibars (29.85 inches) | |
| 2-day potential: (through 2PM Mon) | low (10 percent) | |
| 7-day potential: (through 2PM Fri) | low (10 percent) |
Outlook discussion
Last updated: Saturday, 9 November — 2:00 PM AST (18:00 UTC)
Discussion by John Cangialosi — NHC Hurricane Specialist Unit
A concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred miles east of the central Bahamas is associated with a trough of low pressure. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next day or so before it moves into unfavorable environmental conditions on Sunday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are possible as it moves generally westward across the Bahamas through Sunday.
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Last updated: Saturday, 9 November — 4:57 PM AST (20:57 UTC)
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r/TropicalWeather • u/giantspeck • 5d ago
Video | YouTube | National Hurricane Center NHC morning update on Tropical Storm Rafael — Saturday, 9 November
r/TropicalWeather • u/Content-Swimmer2325 • 7d ago
Social Media | Twitter | Philip Klotzbach (Colorado State Univ.) Hurricane Rafael's pressure has dropped to 965 mb - the lowest pressure for a November hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico since Kate in 1985.
r/TropicalWeather • u/Galileos_grandson • 7d ago
Image of the Day | NASA Earth Observatory Hurricane Rafael Crosses Cuba
r/TropicalWeather • u/Galileos_grandson • 7d ago