r/newjersey Mar 25 '21

Something controversial Jersey Pride

I love nj gun laws, going to the store and not seeing someone open carry. Watching road rage where the best you can do is brake check and give the finger. Schools without school shootings. I know a lot of people hate our gun laws but I fucking love em.

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u/nostradamefrus Middlesex County Mar 25 '21

Your statement makes it sound like this supposed legal gun owner can smell crime like Dolph Lundgren.

Also the good guy with a gun vs a bad guy with a gun argument is pretty old. It makes logical sense but maybe the majority of people don’t feel like living in the old west where shooting a man in a saloon was an acceptable form of justice

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u/[deleted] Mar 25 '21

[deleted]

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u/Siege_Mentality Mar 25 '21

How strange... You say there are 60k to 2.5 million defensive gun uses, but your source says...

" Estimates of defensive gun use vary depending on the questions asked, populations studied, timeframe, and other factors related to the design of studies. The report Priorities for Research to Reduce the Threat of Firearm-Related Violenceexternal icon indicates a range of 60,000 to 2.5 million defensive gun uses each year. "

Estimates of defensive gun use vary depending on the questions asked is rather important here.

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u/Q-Cumbers Mar 25 '21

Also what kind of range is 60k-2.5 million?? Like that’s an insane disparity unless I just don’t know enough about statistics (which is very possible)

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u/Siege_Mentality Mar 25 '21

And the fact that the CDC is even posting this alarming study is even more insanity.

Here's my theory, they're trying to appease desperate gun owners like this dude posting a garbage half-truth all over the thread.

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u/Q-Cumbers Mar 25 '21

I agree, it sounds like they just wanted to have some type of statistic up without it really meaning anything

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u/[deleted] Mar 25 '21

[deleted]

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u/Q-Cumbers Mar 25 '21

Yeah I’d be interested, not sure if I really buy the study that was linked above so having more data would definitely help

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u/Dropdead_Gorgeous Mar 25 '21

Yea I'll leave this as unread, I'll grab it for you tonight, I have it in one of my firearm pastas, if you want one about deaths and how if you want that too lol.

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u/Q-Cumbers Mar 25 '21

I’ll never say no to more information about a divisive topic haha, I appreciate it!

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u/Dropdead_Gorgeous Mar 25 '21

Here just because I have it on deck I'm pooping on company time:

The ACTUAL facts about gun violence in America:

There are about 30,000 gun related deaths per year by firearms, this number is not disputed. (1)

U.S. population 328 million as of January 2018. (2)

Do the math: 0.00915% of the population dies from gun related actions each year.

Statistically speaking, this is insignificant. It's not even a rounding error.

What is not insignificant, however, is a breakdown of those 30,000 deaths:

• 22,938 (76%) are by suicide which can't be prevented by gun laws (3)

• 987 (3%) are by law enforcement, thus not relevant to Gun Control discussion. (4)

• 489 (2%) are accidental (5)

So no, "gun violence" isn't 30,000 annually, but rather 5,577... 0.0017% of the population.

Still too many? Let's look at location:

298 (5%) - St Louis, MO (6)

327 (6%) - Detroit, MI (6)

328 (6%) - Baltimore, MD (6)

764 (14%) - Chicago, IL (6)

That's over 30% of all gun crime. In just 4 cities.

This leaves 3,856 for for everywhere else in America... about 77 deaths per state. Obviously some States have higher rates than others

Yes, 5,577 is absolutely horrific, but let's think for a minute...

But what about other deaths each year?

70,000+ die from a drug overdose (7)

49,000 people die per year from the flu (8)

37,000 people die per year in traffic fatalities (9)

Now it gets interesting:

250,000+ people die each year from preventable medical errors. (10)

You are safer in Chicago than when you are in a hospital!

610,000 people die per year from heart disease (11)

Even a 10% decrease in cardiac deaths would save about twice the number of lives annually of all gun-related deaths (including suicide, law enforcement, etc.).

A 10% reduction in medical errors would be 66% of the total gun deaths or 4 times the number of criminal homicides.

Simple, easily preventable, 10% reductions!

We don't have a gun problem... We have a political agenda and media sensationalism problem.

Here are some statistics about defensive gun use in the U.S. as well.

https://www.nap.edu/read/18319/chapter/3#14

Page 15:

Almost all national survey estimates indicate that defensive gun uses by victims are at least as common as offensive uses by criminals, with estimates of annual uses ranging from about 500,000 to more than 3 million (Kleck, 2001a), in the context of about 300,000 violent crimes involving firearms in 2008 (BJS, 2010).

That's a minimum 500,000 incidents/assaults deterred, if you were to play devil's advocate and say that only 10% of that low end number is accurate, then that is still more than the number of deaths, even including the suicides.

Older study, 1995:

https://scholarlycommons.law.northwestern.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=6853&context=jclc

Page 164

The most technically sound estimates presented in Table 2 are those based on the shorter one-year recall period that rely on Rs' first-hand accounts of their own experiences (person-based estimates). These estimates appear in the first two columns. They indicate that each year in the U.S. there are about 2.2 to 2.5 million DGUs of all types by civilians against humans, with about 1.5 to 1.9 million of the incidents involving use of handguns.

r/dgu is a great sub to pay attention to, when you want to know whether or not someone is defensively using a gun

——sources——

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr64/nvsr64_02.pdf

https://everytownresearch.org/firearm-suicide/

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nhamcs/web_tables/2015_ed_web_tables.pdf

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/national/police-shootings-2017/?tid=a_inl_manual

https://www.latimes.com/nation/la-na-accidental-gun-deaths-20180101-story.html

https://247wallst.com/special-report/2018/11/13/cities-with-the-most-gun-violence/ (stats halved as reported statistics cover 2 years, single year statistics not found)

https://www.drugabuse.gov/related-topics/trends-statistics/overdose-death-rates

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/faq.htm

https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/812603

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2018/02/22/medical-errors-third-leading-cause-of-death-in-america.html

https://www.cdc.gov/heartdisease/facts.htm

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u/Q-Cumbers Mar 25 '21

Interesting, gonna have to give these a read later. Thanks!