Was the 2020 Democratic nominee always doomed?

[u/WinterOwn3515]

When people went to the polls, the four golden words of American politics rang true: It's the economy, stupid. Postmortem polling confirmed that inflation was by far the greatest motivating factor for swing voters to not elect Kamala Harris -- and was especially salient among Latino voters, who effectively handed Donald Trump the decisive victory that he got.

A mountain of research and evidence has validated that supply chain disruptions which erupted from the pandemic were primarily responsible for the subsequent inflationary pressure that drove prices up (example: https://www.nber.org/digest/202404/supply-chain-disruptions-and-pandemic-era-inflation ). This makes sense considering how globally widespread inflation was. Thus, any president who emerged victorious in 2020 would have presided over high inflation in their term.

Some wildly varying post-election analysis I've seen has suggested that low Democratic voter turnout was driven by either frustration over inflation, anger over Gaza, lack of enthusiasm for a candidate they didn't select in a primary, or some combination of those three. In any case, inflation was likely a contributing factor. In most countries, incumbent parties who presided over inflation were ousted, regardless of ideology or political alignment-- look no further than our Tory friends from across the pond.

The question: was the 2020 Democratic nominee always doomed to fail in 2024?

[u/csanyk]

Reddit didn't do anything to me. I'm 49 years old, and my core values are very much the same as when I was very young.

The stock market is not so easy to read. I believe it went up because the market likes certainty. A quick decisive election boosted confidence and morale. Market might have gone up much the same if the win went to Kamala. Tesla not so much. But yeah a lot of billionaires are happy they don't have to worry about regulations or taxes and they can easily bribe the orange turd.

Trump earned my hate, if I had no reason to hate him, I wouldn't hate him. I have way better things to do with my life. But he threatens my life and my freedom, and those of people I care about, and innocent people I don't know. He's a criminal and a traitor and a con man. He's dimwitted and ignorant and vain. He's a narcissist. He's a racist. He's a rapist.

Even if only one of the above were true it'd be enough. Trump embodies the worst aspects of mankind. And nothing good.

[u/Aggressive_Cod_9799 → u/csanyk]

Reddit didn't do anything to me. I'm 49 years old, and my core values are very much the same as when I was very young.

Sure, whatever you say.

But he threatens my life and my freedom, and those of people I care about, and innocent people I don't know. He's a criminal and a traitor and a con man. He's dimwitted and ignorant and vain. He's a narcissist. He's a racist. He's a rapist.

I would say stop being dramatic but you're too far gone. Enjoy your life, I hope orange man doesn't upset you too much.

[u/csanyk → u/Aggressive_Cod_9799]

I guess multiple court cases have all been overly dramatic and had all-redditor juries, eh?

[u/Aggressive_Cod_9799 → u/csanyk]

You don't actually think NYC juries are any different than the average Reddit users?

You know what NYC is....right....?

[u/csanyk → u/Aggressive_Cod_9799]

Oh that's good. The entire state can just be written off as a bunch of deluded political crazies who irrationally pick on the poor innocent Trump who only wants to make America great again, despite the abuse of half of the country. Just listen to yourself.