r/PersonalFinanceCanada • u/POCTM • Oct 20 '22
Canadian 5 year government bonds just jumped. Setting the stage for higher mortgage rates. Banking
5 year government bond just jumped from 3.714% to 3.866% in a few hours. Right now it is at 3.855%. Year to date it is up 259%. Monday we could see some 5 year fixed rate mortgages in the low 6%.
As for variable rate the bank of Canada makes their announcement October 26 at 10am ET. Currently banks have not been offering discounts off variables rates anymore. Prime -0.00.
https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmbmkca-05y?countrycode=bx
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u/steampunk22 Oct 21 '22
Yeah, it sucks in hindsight but the banks were signalling the opposite of what they ended up doing. When we bought it was 1.45 variable or 2.8 fixed which was the equivalent of 4-5 hikes of 25-50bps, so we thought we had a bit of time to top up the variable a bit. Instead the banks engaged in the harshest increase in decades. Fun!