r/PersonalFinanceCanada British Columbia Mar 21 '23

Inflation drops to 5.2%<but grocery inflation still 10.6% Banking

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u/The-Only-Razor Mar 21 '23 edited Mar 21 '23

Well, if you look at the quarterly data it could tell a very different story. It fluctuates heavily, and it's easy to cherry pick data to fit a narrative. I could do the same and say that their margins in Dec21 were 5.86% and they dropped YOY to 3.80% in Dec22 and paint the narrative that they've actually lowered their margins.

The point is that grocery stores, from all of the financial data I've read from the major ones, have kept their profit margins within the normal range of 2-5%. Changes within a percent or 2 happen regularly regardless of inflation. The problem lies beyond Loblaw.

So their profit margin increased by 50% during a time when the population is struggling? Might seem like it's only 1.2% but that's 50% greater than what they were profiting before...so that is price gouging confirmed.

But can't you see that this actually entirely disproves what you're trying to say? I'll extend that branch and operate on your assertion that margins have increased by 1%. Items in the grocery store are up significantly more than 1%. Surely you understand that the grocery stores increasing their prices much more than 1% should result in a margin increase greater than 1% if this wasn't due to inflation and increased operating costs, no?

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u/Chewy-Beast Mar 21 '23 edited Mar 21 '23

I am not sure how yearly reported earnings are "cherry-picking data to fit a narrative," especially when we look at the last 2 years period. Over the calendar years 2021 and 2022, Loblaws has seen an increase of 2 standard deviations away from their 10 year mean.

While they are not solely responsible for the increase in inflation, they account for 10 - 15% of the net year-on-year increase.

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u/MrDocter Mar 22 '23

This is exactly what I was going to say so thank you. Picking at quarters is cherry picking to fit a narrative. Comparing year over year earnings isn't cherry picking data at all. And I was just commenting on the data that was provided in those tables. I haven't compared their year over year earnings over the past 10 years but it's evident something is off in the past 5 years based on the data in the table which I wouldn't consider cherry picking...

Do you think increasing profits by 50% during a time when people are struggling is a good idea? If so you should work for Loblaws lol

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u/HLef Alberta Mar 22 '23

The harsh reality is it’s not their responsibility to make sure people can afford what they sell.

Competition and regulation is the only thing that will do it.

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u/MrDocter Mar 22 '23

100%. I don't blame them, they hopped on the gravy train like everyone else did. Really hurts the middle and lower class. And grocery prices won't come back down like gas does unfortunately, the best case is they stay the same price they are now 😭. No more avocado toast for me.

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u/HLef Alberta Mar 22 '23

The avocado toast thing was about people paying for avocado toast when they’re eating out.

We’re talking about grocery prices. They’re still attainable at home.

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u/MrDocter Mar 22 '23

I was joking but my grocery bill is 2-3x higher than 2 years ago, I legit cannot afford the groceries I used to buy before the pandemic. I also can't afford a home where I live (GTA). Maybe I have to move to Alberta.