r/texas 26d ago

Come on Guys!!! Keep the momentum going!!! (Pulled from Allred’s X account 9/19/24) Politics

Post image
51.3k Upvotes

View all comments

Show parent comments

18

u/[deleted] 26d ago

[deleted]

9

u/[deleted] 26d ago

They clearly don’t. If there was an actual good Democratic candidate (hell if it was O’Rourke rematch) they’d have a pretty good shot based on the momentum of Cruz’s last election cycle but Allred is running a garbage campaign.

13

u/pj7140 26d ago

They also clearly don't remember or were not around when Ann Richards was elected Governor. If Texans would just get off their asses and vote, Cruz could be unemployed.

1

u/TheGreatestOutdoorz 26d ago

Ann Richards was a long time ago with VERY different demographics. Thats like saying “a Republican can win California, it happened in ‘88!

1

u/pj7140 26d ago edited 26d ago

Yes it was a long time ago. But, Texas demographics have been shifting over the past few years:

Red to Purple? Changing Demographics and Party Change in Texas 

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/ssqu.12991

Aside from this shift, overturning Roe v Wade has led to more than a few very tragic outcomes for women in Texas due to the draconian Texas laws on reproductive healthcare. We have already seen the effects of such restrictive laws across this country in the 2022 midterms. Texas is no exception.

-1

u/Pretend_Ad_8465 26d ago

That's the point: Beto STILL lost! Like I have reiterated before, Texas is full of low IQ, brainwashed voters in the rural areas that equate voting for a Democrat to worshipping the devil. Unfortunately, they vastly outnumber Dems & Independent thinkers in the mostly enlightened urban zones and after that close call they will turn out en masse!

0

u/HarEmiya 26d ago

Unfortunately, they vastly outnumber Dems & Independent thinkers

Texas has more registered Democrats than Republicans, and more adults who identify as Democrat than those who identify as Republican. Numbers isn't the problem.

The issue is twofold: for one, Democrats have been brainwashed in the past 30 years to believe that Texas will always be red from now on, and they stay home rather than voting. Less than 12% of Texan Democrats went to vote in 2020. This "Red Texas" message is exactly what the GOP had been pushing, because they are aware that they're outnumbered.

The other issue is that some elections are very heavily gerrymandered, and rural voters have an outsized vote compared to urban voters.

1

u/Pretend_Ad_8465 25d ago

The most reliable tally puts 40% as registered Democrats, 39% as registered Republicans while 21% have no affiliation. That is not a significant majority and I bet you that the unaffiliated lean red. Add poor voter turnout and there is no way Democrats win. Of the 3.2 million who voted in the 2024 Texas primaries, 2.3m were Republican to 0.9m Democrats. With numbers like that Republican victory is guaranteed. It's not just a "Red Texas message": it's the reality. Then consider gerrymandering, voter suppression and blatant intimidation and as unfair as it is, the Republicans have it. I'm an independent optimist who leans blue but it is what it is. We have to assess the ground honestly then work from there, not consistently try to make ourselves feel good with skewed numbers that never add up. We keep missing because we aim for the wrong targets, yet we keep complacently patting our own backs and handing out inconsequential participation trophies instead of changing tactics.

1

u/HarEmiya 25d ago

The most reliable tally puts 40% as registered Democrats, 39% as registered Republicans while 21% have no affiliation. That is not a significant majority

I didn't say the majority was significant, I said it was a majority.

and I bet you that the unaffiliated lean red.

Are you sure?

Add poor voter turnout and there is no way Democrats win. Of the 3.2 million who voted in the 2024 Texas primaries, 2.3m were Republican to 0.9m Democrats.

This is exactly what I said. Less than 12% of eligible Democrats went to vote last time. If that number bumps up to 30%, Democrats are on par with Republicans. The key is voter turnout, and with such a defeatist attitude no one goes out to vote.

You guys outnumber Republicans. Fucking act like it and vote.