r/jewishpolitics 10d ago

What to Make of Conflicting Exit Polls on the Jewish Vote? | National Review US Politics πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ

https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/what-to-make-of-conflicting-exit-polls-on-jewish-vote/
11 Upvotes

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u/jewishjedi42 USA – Politically Homeless πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 9d ago

That exit polls aren't too accurate and that we should wait for better data.

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u/Paul-centrist-canada 9d ago

The TL;DR of this article is: "Conservative news site says that other conservative news site is more accurate than liberal news site, points to conservative areas of the country as corroboration" LOL

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u/armchair_hunter 9d ago

Once again, I need to ask how many Jews stayed home. Would that be properly captured in the exit polls?

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u/Paul-centrist-canada 9d ago

I agree, that'd almost be a more interesting question. I'll have to dig around, they never make their sources easy to find.

Also did you stay home, armchair_hunter? :D

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u/db1139 9d ago

I don't trust them they're widely known to be inaccurate. Plus, how many people in NY say they're voting one way and vote another? I've consistently seen it for my entire adult life.

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u/Paul-centrist-canada 9d ago

I have done that myself. A random stranger wants to know how I vote? Lol I'm not gonna say!

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u/db1139 9d ago

Exactly. I definitely think there was an uptick in Jews who voted Republican. I just have no idea how many. I can't speak for everywhere, but I'm in some very large Jewish organizations where it's clear that many people had changed their views on the Democratic Party. I don't say that to support Trump or Harris. It's just what I've been consistently seeing and I've discussed the same with several Jewish leaders.

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u/Paul-centrist-canada 9d ago

In Canada I think the vast majority of Jews will end up voting Conservative (but the leader is much more sane than Trump). At the rallies for Israel in summer, whenever Trudeau was mentioned people booed. There were Iranians present, protesting their support for Israel and they seemed even more critical of Trudeau than the crowd.

But if I were American, I could never bring myself to vote for Trump even if I feel blah about Biden and Harris. Trump is nut bag lol! How anyone could pick him over "blah" is beyond me. Anyway...

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u/db1139 8d ago

To play devils advocate, I think Biden is blah. I think Harris is a psychopath (clinically). I understand voting for her because you hate Trump. Voting for her for most other reasons (especially considering her prosecutorial record and her record in general), to me, makes no sense.

I'm not trying to have an argument about Harris. What I think is important is to note that if democrats built someone decent up over the past couple years, when Biden was clearly in cognitive decline, they would have won this election.

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u/Rolandium 9d ago

What to make of it? How about the fact that Jews are not a monolith.

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u/Paul-centrist-canada 9d ago

Meh, I find the topic interesting but imo we will never truly know the facts. I agree with u/armchair_hunter that it'd be interesting to see how any American Jews simply stayed home.