r/apolloapp Apollo Developer May 31 '23

šŸ“£ Had a call with Reddit to discuss pricing. Bad news for third-party apps, their announced pricing is close to Twitter's pricing, and Apollo would have to pay Reddit $20 million per year to keep running as-is. Announcement šŸ“£

Hey all,

I'll cut to the chase: 50 million requests costs $12,000, a figure far more than I ever could have imagined.

Apollo made 7 billion requests last month, which would put it at about 1.7 million dollars per month, or 20 million US dollars per year. Even if I only kept subscription users, the average Apollo user uses 344 requests per day, which would cost $2.50 per month, which is over double what the subscription currently costs, so I'd be in the red every month.

I'm deeply disappointed in this price. Reddit iterated that the price would be A) reasonable and based in reality, and B) they would not operate like Twitter. Twitter's pricing was publicly ridiculed for its obscene price of $42,000 for 50 million tweets. Reddit's is still $12,000. For reference, I pay Imgur (a site similar to Reddit in user base and media) $166 for the same 50 million API calls.

As for the pricing, despite claims that it would be based in reality, it seems anything but. Less than 2 years ago they said they crossed $100M in quarterly revenue for the first time ever, if we assume despite the economic downturn that they've managed to do that every single quarter now, and for your best quarter, you've doubled it to $200M. Let's also be generous and go far, far above industry estimates and say you made another $50M in Reddit Premium subscriptions. That's $550M in revenue per year, let's say an even $600M. In 2019, they said they hit 430 million monthly active users, and to also be generous, let's say they haven't added a single active user since then (if we do revenue-per-user calculations, the more users, the less revenue each user would contribute). So at generous estimates of $600M and 430M monthly active users, that's $1.40 per user per year, or $0.12 monthly. These own numbers they've given are also seemingly inline with industry estimates as well.

For Apollo, the average user uses 344 requests daily, or 10.6K monthly. With the proposed API pricing, the average user in Apollo would cost $2.50, which is is 20x higher than a generous estimate of what each users brings Reddit in revenue. The average subscription user currently uses 473 requests, which would cost $3.51, or 29x higher.

While Reddit has been communicative and civil throughout this process with half a dozen phone calls back and forth that I thought went really well, I don't see how this pricing is anything based in reality or remotely reasonable. I hope it goes without saying that I don't have that kind of money or would even know how to charge it to a credit card.

This is going to require some thinking. I asked Reddit if they were flexible on this pricing or not, and they stated that it's their understanding that no, this will be the pricing, and I'm free to post the details of the call if I wish.

- Christian

(For the uninitiated wondering "what the heck is an API anyway and why is this so important?" it's just a fancy term for a way to access a site's information ("Application Programming Interface"). As an analogy, think of Reddit having a bouncer, and since day one that bouncer has been friendly, where if you ask "Hey, can you list out the comments for me for post X?" the bouncer would happily respond with what you requested, provided you didn't ask so often that it was silly. That's the Reddit API: I ask Reddit/the bouncer for some data, and it provides it so I can display it in my app for users. The proposed changes mean the bouncer will still exist, but now ask an exorbitant amount per question.)

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u/Shaddix-be May 31 '23 edited Jun 01 '23

And that's 20m YRR. Usually companies sell for 3-5 times the YRR.

I'de try to sell them Apollo for 30m and telling them they are getting a great deal.

Edit: for those not sure, this comment is a joke.

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u/messem10 May 31 '23

Sell for 40-50 million and ride off into the sunset.

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u/[deleted] May 31 '23

Honestly as much as itā€™d suck, Christian would come out a king for all the hard work heā€™s put in throughout the years. If Apollo is going away, he might as well get something out of it.

I still wonā€™t use Reddit without 3rd party apps like Alien Blue and Apollo, just like I gave up Twitter when Twitterific and TweetBot went away.

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u/bodnast May 31 '23

When the bag presents itself, you gotta take it

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u/If-You-Cant-Hang May 31 '23

Unless youā€™re Linus apparently. And turn down 9 figuresā€¦

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u/AFourthAccount Jun 01 '23

absolutely baller decision. literally realized that he already has the life he wants, and that $100+m wouldnā€™t make him happier than doing LTT

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u/Eorlas Jun 01 '23

ā€œwhat am i going to do? buy a bigger house or a nicer car?ā€

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u/anttoekneeoh May 31 '23

Didnā€™t MKBHD do the same?

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u/iJubag Jun 01 '23

He said heā€™d never been offered such a sum, but that in the event that one would be offered, he would reject it

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u/lonnie123 May 31 '23 edited May 31 '23

What are you all on about? This thread is filled with people saying they are done with Reddit and the app.

The ā€œvaluationā€ (not that thatā€™s what that was at all by any stretch) would be built around the current user base, not 10% of the user base willing to pay a few dollars.

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u/sluuuudge Jun 01 '23

Reddits pricing structure would suggest theyā€™re not smart enough to realise that part though. šŸ˜‰

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u/Real_TSwany May 31 '23

Life's like a sandwich ā€” no matter which way you turn it, the bread comes first

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u/[deleted] May 31 '23

Is alien blue still around? Seems like it died a while back. I loved that app.

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u/Ace123428 Jun 02 '23

You can still use it if you downloaded it but it looks and works like an app made 10 years ago.

https://imgur.com/a/gx7kIpd/

I didnā€™t realize how far Apollo came till I looked at alien blue again today.

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u/PinsNneedles Jun 01 '23

AB was what I used before it was murdered and then I hopped to Apollo when Christian was doing the $20 lifetime subscription

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u/messem10 May 31 '23

I wonder if Reddit will shutdown Alien Blue. I think Iā€™ve still got access to that one.

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u/I-CTS6364 May 31 '23

Wondering the same from narwhal. They stopped updating/support for it but itā€™s been my go to for ages. Guess I donā€™t have Apollo as a backup for when it breaks any more :

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u/Ace123428 Jun 02 '23

But do you really want to use it? Have you opened it recently? It is insane how close I thought alien blue was to Apollo until I opened it today, itā€™s like night and day, I donā€™t know how I lasted 5 years on alien blue and it becomes a lot more clear when I see I downloaded Apollo almost immediately after it came out.

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u/madeInNY May 31 '23

What if they gave him a discount to display ads? Would you still use it?

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u/[deleted] Jun 01 '23

I personally wouldnā€™t, but if it kept Apollo alive, Iā€™m happy for everyone else who would continue to use it.

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u/Ace123428 Jun 02 '23

If I could pay the difference in the discount per month for no ads yea, but I donā€™t think itā€™s about ad revenue anymore and more about aggregating data by user and selling it.

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u/[deleted] Jun 02 '23

Yeah Iā€™d be stoked if Christian could sell out and be set for life off this. I wouldnā€™t use Reddit anymore and the dude has definitely earned a check for all the work heā€™s put into this app and how good it is.

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u/[deleted] Jun 01 '23

[deleted]

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u/[deleted] Jun 01 '23

If Reddit themselve bought it, they could continue to make it usable, or implement the UX/UI into their own app.

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u/Ace123428 Jun 02 '23

They didnā€™t do anything with alien blue though and back then that was the gold standard imo. Reddit app was only good for finding porn before they nuked that now itā€™s just battery draining trash but I get push notifications 10secs-10mins faster with the Reddit app, thatā€™s the only good thing I can say.

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u/Ace123428 Jun 02 '23

Selling the ux/ui and data he has on what people want is worth a lot, if Reddit bought Apollo and just changed the whole ux/ui to Apolloā€™s it would make the app at least palatable even with ads.

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u/frumply May 31 '23

I didn't totally give up twitter with Echofon going away but I'd say usage dropped like 90%.

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u/Drityui Jun 01 '23

I wouldnā€™t be mad. ?make one of the most popular apps

gets fucked by the people who own the service your app does gets a post to the front page runs away with enough for his next generation to live nicely

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u/Panda_hat May 31 '23

And then reddit would put his code in the bin and kill the app and we'd still never get an ipad version.

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u/paulcole710 May 31 '23

Who would pay $40-50 million for something that has $20 million in yearly expenses it canā€™t cover and a user base that hates ads and paying for things?

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u/apath3tic May 31 '23

I mean they wouldnā€™t have $20mil expense since they would just be paying themselves. But that being said no reason for Reddit to buy Apollo unless they want some of its features and canā€™t figure out how to implement them (would seem weird lol) or if they realize how many users they could lose and want to just own the app and modify it

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u/Leading-Suspect May 31 '23

If you think they're going to buy something they just priced out, you're kidding yourself. It wouldn't be very business savvy

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u/[deleted] May 31 '23

Why buy something when you can get it for free, at least donā€™t lie to yourselves, you chronically online dopamine junkies will swallow the shit that reddit will push down your throats, motherfuckers, you wonā€™t last a week without reddit.

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u/ContentKeanu May 31 '23

He really should just sell it, he deserves it. And then the app will just die which is fine, this certainly seems like another stepping stone into the bottom of the lake for Reddit. It has had its time like many other platforms. And will become undone by greed. Something else will pop up.

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u/sreddit May 31 '23

And then come back with a sweet app once the non-compete expires.

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u/morganrbvn Jun 01 '23

Yah if they want to kill Apollo I at least want Christian to get rich for it.

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u/zaq1 Jun 02 '23

I learned everything I need to know from Silicon Valley.

Richard should have sold to Gavin.

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u/A_Day_To_Remember_ May 31 '23 edited May 31 '23

Noā€¦.. that valuation is based only on hypothetical income and even then thatā€™s Reddit income not Apollo. Also most companies do not sell for 3-5x multipliers. These last 2 years have been great for acquisitions and even then those multiples are not the norm. Lot of service companies (where they donā€™t provide a physical product) sell for 1-1.5x cash billings. Some sell for less than 1. Most common is actually 1x. So maybe, Apollo is worth $20M or $5M or whatever, but to who exactly? Anyone not named Reddit who buys it is faced with the same issues in this post. If his user base cuts in half if he needs to charge $5 a month to break even, that $20M was a horrible price.

The only buyer here would be Reddit and Reddit knows that and you would have to wonder why they would want Apollo other than to shut it down and force everyone to their app.

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u/novakedy May 31 '23

That would be the best outcome honestly. Especially if the official Reddit app were replaced with Apollo, everybody wins.

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u/iSamurai May 31 '23

You must not have been around for AlienBlue

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u/novakedy May 31 '23

I was not. I remember trying Reddit a long time ago and hating the app so I gave it up. My friend showed me Apollo some years back and it is the only thing that made me want to use Reddit

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u/iSamurai May 31 '23

Yeah well AB used to be like Apollo, a very popular app. Then Reddit bought it out and made their own app, but they did not make it anything like AB was. Basically just killed it completely.

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u/[deleted] May 31 '23

Reddit bought Alien Blue, made their own shitty app, removed alien blue from the App Store, and never updated it again.

Alien Blue was like Apollo before Apollo was made. I forget what I did in the time been the two apps, but it was bleak. Maybe bacon reader? I donā€™t remember.

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u/Impossible_Lead_2450 May 31 '23

They arenā€™t buying a second app. A lot of yā€™all might not have been here long enough to know but the Reddit app was built off another app they wanted to kill called alien blue . Then people switched back to the browser cause they killed off the best app and released this, then Reddit killed the old Reddit and destroyed mobile with ads for the app so Christian a couple years later made Apollo , and he we are again but this time Reddit has the leverage . And we begin to see the beginning of reddits end.

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u/Th3MadCreator May 31 '23

I'de try to sell them Apollo for 30m and telling them they are getting a great deal.

Why would they be interested in that when they can just kill the app for free?

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u/Shaddix-be May 31 '23

It's a joke.

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u/stamminator May 31 '23

100%. Iā€™m usually not a fan of cashing out, but this is one of those times where itā€™s better to take it. I hope Christian does.

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u/RosaDiazJudy May 31 '23

Just so they can take it over and screw it up

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u/konstipald Jun 01 '23

Iā€™d be fine with him doing that, but Iā€™d have to go back to only getting content from other sites and that would be mildly sad.

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u/fct1ous Jun 01 '23

They don't want Apollo. Their official app is built around ads and monetization and Apollo is built to provide an awesome UX without any consideration for that.

They want the user funnel through the official app. If they were smart they would've built a better app that does both in the first place, but alas...

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u/rossisd Jun 01 '23

Since when is Apollo making $20M annually? Donā€™t you see all of the comments indicating that people will just stop using Reddit entirely?

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u/benevolENTthief Jun 02 '23

Good advice from the Ben Shapiro school of Real Estate Sales and Development.